Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/19/2026

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Melsik Baghdasaryan will face off against Murtazali Magomedov at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The opening line has Baghdasaryan at +285 while Magomedov is at -350.

Melsik "The Gun" Baghdasaryan has a career mark of 8-3-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Murtazali "The Highlight" Magomedov stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-0-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Melsik Baghdasaryan lands 5.04 per minute while Murtazali Magomedov lands 5.57 significant strikes per minute. Baghdasaryan lands 59% of the significant strikes he throws while Magomedov connects on 40%. Regarding defense, "The Gun" allows 3.14 significant strikes per minute while "The Highlight" allows 1.86. Baghdasaryan also defends against 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Magomedov is able to thwart 84% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Melsik Baghdasaryan ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Melsik Baghdasaryan	Murtazali Magomedov
Opening Odds	+285	-350
Record	8-3-0	10-0-0
Average Fight Time	10:31	1:37
Height	5'9"	5'9"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.04	5.57
Striking Accuracy	59%	40%

When it comes to grappling, Melsik Baghdasaryan is the more apt grappler as he gets a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. Baghdasaryan is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Magomedov is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 15% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Baghdasaryan is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Magomedov attempts 0.9 finishes per 3 rds.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

In his previous fight, Melsik Baghdasaryan went up against Jean Silva and ended up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Silva landed 18 of 27 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Baghdasaryan finished this fight landing 7 of 25 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Silva landed 18 of 27, which means his percentage was 66%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Baghdasaryan ended up landing 28% of his significant strikes by landing 7 of 25. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 5 of 20 to the head. 61% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 100% of them landed by Baghdasaryan were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Murtazali Magomedov, he faced off with Brahyam Zurcher and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Zurcher ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Magomedov ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Magomedov ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 9 of 22. He landed 9 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Zurcher landed 3 of 19 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 5 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Zurcher connected on 3 of 19 and Magomedov connected on 9 of 22 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Vinicius Oliveira enters the Octagon against Andre Fili. Oliveira comes into this fight holding a mark of 23-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Fili measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 25-13-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". Regarding grappling, Vinicius Oliveira gets his opposition to the mat 1.45 times per 15 minutes and Andre Fili is averaging a takedown 2.32 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Oliveira tags his opponents 4.73 strikes per min and lands 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Andre Fili, who is landing 37% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.88 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Kevin Borjas is set to clash with Andre Lima. Lima will be looking to add a victory to his record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Borjas measures 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 10-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 68". Concerning grappling, Andre Lima is able to stop 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries. Borjas is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and defends against 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Lima absorbs 2.49 strikes/minute while he connects on 4.06 strikes/min. Borjas, notwithstanding, takes 5.64 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Murtazali Magomedov (-350)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	June 19, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Craig Trapp
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks