Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/27/2026

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Michael Chiesa will face off against Niko Price at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The moneyline has Chiesa priced at -900 while Price is coming in at +600.

Michael "Maverick" Chiesa walks into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Niko "The Hybrid" Price measures 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-10-0 (2 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 76". When talking about significant strikes, Michael Chiesa is connecting on 2.03 per minute and Niko Price lands 5.13 significant strikes per min. Chiesa connects on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts while Price lands 43%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Maverick" allows 1.73 significant strikes per minute while "The Hybrid" takes 5.61. Chiesa also prevents 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Price is able to deflect 48% of them.

ufc picks Michael Chiesa ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Michael Chiesa	Niko Price
Opening Odds	-900	+600
Record	19-7-0	16-10-0 (2 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:36	8:28
Height	6'1"	6'0"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.03	5.13
Striking Accuracy	40%	43%

Concerning grappling, Michael Chiesa is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.05 times per 3 rds. Chiesa is scoring a takedown on 47% of his attempts and stuffing 67% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Price is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Chiesa is the more skilled fighter by going for 1.0 finish per 15 minutes while Price attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Michael Chiesa went up against Court McGee and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. McGee landed 51 of 158 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Chiesa ended the night having landed 81 of 169 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, McGee ended up landing 39 of 145, which gave him a rate of 26%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 95 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Chiesa landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 72 of 160. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 47 of 128 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by McGee and 72% of them landed by Chiesa were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Niko Price, he went up against Nikolay Veretennikov and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Veretennikov ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Price ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Price landed 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 23. He connected on 7 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Veretennikov landed 19 of 30 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 12 of 22 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Veretennikov connected on 20 of 31 and Price ended up landing 12 of 27 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Julian Erosa battles Lerryan Douglas. Erosa steps into the cage with a record of 31-13-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Douglas measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 72". In the grappling category, Julian Erosa takes his opponents to the canvas 1.78 times per 15 min and Lerryan Douglas is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Erosa connects for an average of 6.21 strikes per min and connecting on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Lerryan Douglas, who lands 87% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 11.67 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Yousri Belgaroui is set to battle Mansur Abdul-Malik. Abdul-Malik walks into the cage with a mark of 9-0-1. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Belgaroui comes in at 6'6" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 9-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 79". In the category of takedowns, Mansur Abdul-Malik is preventing 83% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his tries. Belgaroui is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his tries and prevents 68% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Abdul-Malik is taking 3.46 strikes/minute while he connects on 4.18 strikes per minute. Belgaroui, notwithstanding, is taking 2.52 strikes/min and connects on 5.82 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Niko Price (+600)

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Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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