Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli Pick, 11/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 124 Odds
Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli
UFC Vegas 124
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 7, 2026
Mitch Raposo will enter the Octagon against Marcos Degli at UFC Vegas 124 on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The moneyline has Raposo at +201 while Degli is at -240.
Mitch Raposo looks to add a win to his record of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 64". Marcos "Tailandes" Degli stands 5'6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-3-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 67". When talking about significant strikes, Mitch Raposo connects on 1.91 per minute and Marcos Degli is landing 1.95 significant strikes per min. Raposo is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he attempts while Degli is connecting on 67%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Raposo absorbs 2.92 significant strikes per minute while "Tailandes" absorbs 0.51. Raposo also prevents 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Degli defends against 75% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 124 | Mitch Raposo | Marcos Degli |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +201 | -240 |
| Record | 11-3-0 | 15-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:38 | 9:46 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 64" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.91 | 1.95 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 67% |
When it comes to wrestling, Mitch Raposo is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.98 times per 3 rds. Raposo is scoring a takedown on 36% of his attempts and is stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Degli is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Raposo is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.9 submissions per 3 rounds while Degli goes for 4.6 submissions per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Mitch Raposo squared up with Allan Nascimento and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nascimento ended up landing 98 of 195 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Raposo finished this fight landing 54 of 108 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Nascimento landed 58 of 142, which gave him a rate of 40%. He ended up landing 28 of 96 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Raposo ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 38 of 89. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 29 of 80 aimed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Nascimento and 97% of them connected on by Raposo were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Marcos Degli, he went up against Paris Moran and wound up taking home the win via rear naked choke in round 2. Moran ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Degli landed 42% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Degli ended up landing 67% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 19 of 28. He ended up landing 9 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. Moran landed 5 of 20 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 2 of 16 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Moran ended up connecting on 27 of 47 and Degli connected on 89 of 112 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jose Delano battles Murtazali Magomedov. Delano holds a mark of 17-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Magomedov stands 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Jose Delano takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 15 min while Murtazali Magomedov is able to score a takedown 5.17 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Delano connects on 8.43 strikes/min and lands 64% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Murtazali Magomedov, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.83 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ollie Schmid is set to go up against Keiichiro Nakamura. Nakamura has a career record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Schmid stands 6'0" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 4-3-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the category of takedowns, Keiichiro Nakamura deflects 78% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts. Schmid is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and defends against 15% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Nakamura takes 4.28 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.48 strikes per minute. Schmid, moreover, absorbs 7.90 strikes/minute and connects on 3.23 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marcos Degli (-240)
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