Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds

Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC Vegas 116

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Montel Jackson will enter the Octagon with Raoni Barcelos at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The line has Jackson priced at -190 while Barcelos is at +165.

Montel "Quik" Jackson comes into this bout with a mark of 15-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Raoni Barcelos stands 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 21-5-0. The 38-year-old has a reach of 67". With respect to significant strikes, Montel Jackson is connecting on 3.09 per minute while Raoni Barcelos is landing 4.92 significant strikes per min. Jackson is landing 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Barcelos is landing 51%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Quik" absorbs 1.40 significant strikes per minute and Barcelos absorbs 4.40. Jackson also prevents 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Barcelos thwarts 61% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Montel Jackson is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.00 times per 15 min. Jackson is finishing his takedown attempts on 63% of his attempts and stopping 67% of all takedowns attempted on him. Barcelos is finishing his takedowns on 31% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Jackson is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Barcelos looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Montel Jackson faced Deiveson Figueiredo and ended up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Figueiredo ended up landing 23 of 44 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Jackson ended the night having landed 30 of 70 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Figueiredo ended up landing 23 of 43, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He landed 4 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Jackson ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes by landing 30 of 70. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 14 of 51 aimed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 93% of them landed by Jackson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Raoni Barcelos, he faced off with Ricky Simon and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Simon ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Barcelos ended up connecting on 97% of his significant strikes at distance. Barcelos ended up connecting on 43% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 82 of 187. He connected on 53 of 150 significant strikes to the head. Simon connected on 67 of 181 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 57 of 165 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Simon ended up connecting on 77 of 191 and Barcelos ended up connecting on 86 of 194 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Marcus Buchecha goes up against Ryan Spann. Buchecha steps into the Octagon holding a record of 5-2-1. The 36-year-old is fighting at 255 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Spann measures in at 6'5" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 23-11-0. The 34-year-old stretches 79". In terms of takedowns, Marcus Buchecha takes his opponents to the mat 2.00 times per 15 minutes and Ryan Spann takes his opponents to the canvas 1.30 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Buchecha tags his opponents 1.70 strikes/minute and is landing 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Ryan Spann, who tags his opponent on 39% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.19 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Eric McConico is set to go up against Rodolfo Vieira. Vieira looks to add a win to his record of 11-4-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". McConico measures 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-4-1. The 35-year-old stretches 77". In terms of wrestling, Rodolfo Vieira is thwarting 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 21% of his attempts. McConico is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his attempts and is able to curb 64% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Vieira is taking 4.38 strikes/min and he dishes out 3.55 strikes/minute. McConico, at the same time, absorbs 3.23 strikes per minute and is dishing out 2.61 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (+165)

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