Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon Pick, 09/26/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 121 Odds
Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon
UFC Vegas 121
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Montel Jackson will enter the Octagon with Ricky Simon at UFC Vegas 121 on Saturday, September 26, 2026. The moneyline has Jackson priced at -205 while Simon is at +173.
Montel "Quik" Jackson walks into the cage holding a record of 15-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Ricky Simon stands 5'6" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-7-1. The 34-year-old reaches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Montel Jackson is landing 3.02 per min while Ricky Simon connects on 3.03 significant strikes per min. Jackson is landing 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Simon is connecting on 42%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Quik" allows 1.40 significant strikes per min and Simon allows 3.90. Jackson also stops 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Simon is able to deflect 61% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 121 | Montel Jackson | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +173 |
| Record | 15-4-0 | 22-7-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:04 | 12:49 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.02 | 3.03 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 42% |
In the wrestling category, Montel Jackson is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.71 times per 3 rounds. Jackson is finishing his takedown attempts on 63% of his tries and is stopping 67% of all takedown attempts. Simon is scoring a takedown on 41% of his takedown tries and thwarting 76% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing the opposition, Jackson is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Simon attempts 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his previous bout, Montel Jackson squared up with Raoni Barcelos and ended up walking away in defeat by split decision in round 3. Barcelos ended up landing 33 of 51 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Jackson ended the night having landed 72 of 104 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Barcelos landed 21 of 38, giving him a percentage of 55%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 18 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Jackson landed 53% of his significant strikes by connecting on 35 of 66. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 26 of 57 to the head. 61% of the significant strikes connected on by Barcelos and 74% of them landed by Jackson were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Ricky Simon, he faced off with Adrian Yanez and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Yanez landed 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Simon ended up landing 86% of his significant strikes at distance. Simon connected on 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 44 of 139. He ended up connecting on 33 of 121 significant strikes to the head. Yanez connected on 71 of 169 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 63 of 159 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Yanez connected on 73 of 171 while Simon connected on 52 of 149 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when John Castaneda faces off with Alateng Heili. Castaneda looks to add a win to his total of 21-8-1. The 34-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Heili stands in at 5'5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-10-2. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of takedowns, John Castaneda takes his opponents down 1.49 times per 15 minutes while Alateng Heili scores a takedown 1.74 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Castaneda lands 4.95 strikes per min and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Alateng Heili, who lands 32% of the strikes that he throws and lands 2.82 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Sedriques Dumas is set to square up in the Octagon with Mickey Gall. Gall walks into the cage with a record of 7-7-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The switch fighter has a reach of 74". Dumas comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-5-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has a reach of 79". In terms of grappling, Mickey Gall is thwarting 37% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 32% of his attempts. Dumas is taking his opponents down on 31% of his tries and is able to deflect 33% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Gall is absorbing 4.72 strikes/minute while he deals 3.50 strikes per min. Dumas, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.64 strikes per minute and lands 1.97 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ricky Simon (+173)
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