Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds
Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas
UFC 324
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 24, 2026
Nikita Krylov will face off with Modestas Bukauskas at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The opening line has Krylov coming in at +117 while Bukauskas is at -137.
Nikita "The Miner" Krylov walks into the cage holding a record of 30-11-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 19-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Regarding significant strikes, Nikita Krylov is landing 4.31 per min while Modestas Bukauskas lands 3.32 significant strikes per minute. Krylov is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Bukauskas connects on 43%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Miner" allows 2.58 significant strikes per min while "The Baltic Gladiator" allows 3.93. Krylov also deflects 44% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Bukauskas prevents 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 324 | Nikita Krylov | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +117 | -137 |
| Record | 30-11-0 | 19-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 6:34 | 9:11 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.31 | 3.32 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 43% |
When it comes to wrestling, Nikita Krylov is the more skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.17 times per 15 min. Krylov is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his attempts and stopping 53% of all takedown tries against him. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Krylov is the more capable fighter by trying 1.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Bukauskas tries 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Nikita Krylov went up against Bogdan Guskov and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Guskov landed 28 of 48 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Krylov walked away from this fight having landed 16 of 34 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Guskov landed 23 of 43, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He landed 20 of 40 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Krylov landed 47% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 16 of 34. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 20 to the head. 47% of the significant strikes landed by Guskov and 100% of them landed by Krylov were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Modestas Bukauskas, he went up against Paul Craig and ended up getting the victory in the fight via an elbow to the head in round 1. Craig ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Bukauskas landed 45% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Bukauskas ended up connecting on 61% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 22 of 36. He ended up connecting on 18 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. Craig ended up landing 6 of 14 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 0 of 4 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Craig landed 30 of 39 while Bukauskas was 29 of 44 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alex Perez battles Charles Johnson. Perez has a career mark of 25-10-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 65". Johnson stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-7-0. The 35-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Alex Perez is averaging a takedown 2.28 times per 15 minutes while Charles Johnson takes his opponents down 0.56 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Perez connects on 4.16 strikes/min and landing 45% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Charles Johnson, who connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.73 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Alexander Hernandez is set to square up with Michael Johnson. Johnson comes into this fight with a mark of 25-19-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Hernandez stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 18-8-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In terms of grappling, Michael Johnson is able to stop 81% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of his tries. Hernandez is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his attempts and is able to stop 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Johnson is taking 3.79 strikes per minute while he is dealing 4.28 per minute. Hernandez, on the other side, is taking 4.50 strikes per minute and lands 4.31 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nikita Krylov (+117)
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