Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris
UFC Houston
Toyota Center in Houston, TX
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Ode Osbourne will take on Alibi Idiris at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The opening line has Osbourne coming in at +110 while Idiris is priced at -130.
Ode "The Jamaican Sensation" Osbourne holds a career mark of 13-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Alibi Idiris comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Ode Osbourne is landing 3.07 per min while Alibi Idiris connects on 3.47 significant strikes per minute. Osbourne lands 41% of the significant strikes he throws while Idiris is connecting on 50%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Jamaican Sensation" takes 3.43 significant strikes per min while Idiris allows 3.60. Osbourne also prevents 47% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Idiris thwarts 53% of the shots thrown his way.

| UFC Houston | Ode Osbourne | Alibi Idiris |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +110 | -130 |
| Record | 13-9-0 (1 NC) | 11-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:24 | 8:04 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 50% |
In the wrestling category, Ode Osbourne is the better grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.09 times per 3 rds. Osbourne is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries and thwarting 66% of all takedown tries against him. Idiris is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 60% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Osbourne is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Idiris attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 min.
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In his last fight, Ode Osbourne went up against Steve Erceg and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Erceg ended up landing 39 of 82 total strikes that he let go. Osbourne ended the night having landed 47 of 89 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Erceg landed 20 of 53, which means his percentage was 37%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Osbourne ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 35 of 74. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 20 of 53 pointed at the head. 60% of the significant strikes connected on by Erceg and 82% of them connected on by Osbourne were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Alibi Idiris, he squared up with Joseph Morales and wound up walking away in defeat via a triangle choke in round 2. Morales connected on 62% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Idiris connected on 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Idiris connected on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 28 of 56. He connected on 9 of 35 significant strikes aimed at the head. Morales ended up landing 29 of 63 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 15 of 44 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Morales ended up connecting on 44 of 86 while Idiris ended up landing 50 of 82 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alden Coria fights Luis Gurule. Coria steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-3-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Gurule comes in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 64". When it comes to grappling, Alden Coria gets his opposition to the mat 2.78 times per 3 rds while Luis Gurule is averaging a takedown 0.41 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Coria tags his opponents 3.89 strikes/minute and connects on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Luis Gurule, who tags his opponent on 42% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 4.93 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Punahele Soriano is set to square up in the Octagon against Ramiz Brahimaj. Brahimaj walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Soriano measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding takedowns, Ramiz Brahimaj stops 48% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 38% of his tries. Soriano is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of his attempts and is able to stop 40% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Brahimaj absorbs 3.42 strikes per min while he is dealing 2.23 strikes per minute. Soriano, in contrast, absorbs 3.42 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.66 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ode Osbourne (+110)
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