Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds
Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres
UFC Baku
Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan
Saturday, June 27, 2026
Rafael Fiziev will battle Manuel Torres at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 27, 2026. The odds have Fiziev coming in at -115 while Torres is at -105.
Rafael "Ataman" Fiziev steps into the cage with a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Manuel "El Loco" Torres measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Rafael Fiziev lands 4.71 per minute and Manuel Torres is landing 7.29 significant strikes per min. Fiziev is landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Torres lands 59%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Ataman" absorbs 4.84 significant strikes per minute while "El Loco" absorbs 4.08. Fiziev also curbs 49% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Torres deflects 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Baku | Rafael Fiziev | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -115 | -105 |
| Record | 13-5-0 | 17-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:04 | 2:29 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.71 | 7.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 59% |
When it comes to grappling, Rafael Fiziev is not as efficient of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.83 times per 15 minutes. Fiziev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his tries and stuffing 90% of all takedown tries against him. Torres is finishing his takedowns on 66% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Fiziev is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Torres tries 0.9 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rafael Fiziev squared up with Mauricio Ruffy and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Ruffy landed 60 of 93 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Fiziev walked away from this fight having landed 37 of 67 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Ruffy landed 55 of 88, which gave him a rate of 62%. He landed 45 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Fiziev landed 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 36 of 66. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 9 of 31 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Ruffy and 94% of them connected on by Fiziev were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Manuel Torres, he faced off with Grant Dawson and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Dawson connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Torres ended up connecting on 88% of his significant strikes at distance. Torres landed 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 9 of 17. He connected on 5 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Dawson ended up landing 8 of 21 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 4 of 13 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Dawson landed 8 of 21 and Torres landed 9 of 17 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shara Magomedov battles Michel Pereira. Magomedov comes into this fight with a mark of 16-1-0. The 32-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Pereira stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When it comes to grappling, Shara Magomedov gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min while Michel Pereira is able to score a takedown 1.21 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Magomedov is landing 5.93 strikes/minute and connects on 62% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Michel Pereira, who connects on 51% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 4.46 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Matheus Camilo is set to take on Nazim Sadykhov. Sadykhov steps into the cage with a record of 11-2-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 69". Camilo measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 69". Concerning grappling, Nazim Sadykhov deflects 72% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 45% of the times he tries. Camilo is finishing his takedown tries on 53% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 15% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Sadykhov is taking 5.49 strikes/min and he is landing 4.79 strikes per minute. Camilo, on the other side, absorbs 3.25 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.19 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Rafael Fiziev (-115)
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