Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds

Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy

UFC 325

Qudos Bank Arena in South Wales, Australia

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Rafael Fiziev will face off with Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The opening line has Fiziev priced at +100 while Ruffy is priced at -120.

Rafael "Ataman" Fiziev walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The switch fighter extends his reach 71". Mauricio Ruffy stands 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 75". In terms of significant strikes, Rafael Fiziev is landing 4.77 per minute while Mauricio Ruffy is landing 3.84 significant strikes per min. Fiziev is landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ruffy connects on 57%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Ataman" absorbs 4.77 significant strikes per min and Ruffy allows 4.16. Fiziev also curbs 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Ruffy is able to defend against 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Rafael Fiziev is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rds. Fiziev is finishing his takedown attempts on 72% of his tries and is defending 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Ruffy is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 84% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Fiziev is the more able fighter by trying 0.9 submissions per 3 rds while Ruffy tries 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Rafael Fiziev went up against Ignacio Bahamondes and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Bahamondes landed 62 of 165 total strikes that he let go. Fiziev walked away from this fight having landed 87 of 141 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Bahamondes ended up landing 50 of 147, which gave him a percentage of 34%. He ended up landing 23 of 108 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Fiziev ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 62 of 113. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 31 of 72 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Bahamondes and 83% of them landed by Fiziev were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mauricio Ruffy, he fought Benoit Saint Denis and ended up losing the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Denis ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Ruffy ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Ruffy landed 29% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 5 of 17. He landed 4 of 14 significant strikes to the head. Denis ended up landing 17 of 38 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 9 of 26 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Denis ended up landing 37 of 61 and Ruffy landed 6 of 18 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Tai Tuivasa enters the Octagon against Tallison Teixeira. Tuivasa walks into the cage holding a record of 15-8-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Teixeira measures in at 6'7" and is fighting at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 83". In terms of takedowns, Tai Tuivasa scores a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds and Tallison Teixeira takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Tuivasa lands 3.77 strikes per min and is landing 46% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Tallison Teixeira, who lands 59% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 12.83 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Jamie Mullarkey is set to take on Quillan Salkilld. Salkilld looks to add a win to his career total of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Mullarkey stands in at 6'0" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 18-8-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the category of takedowns, Quillan Salkilld defends against 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries. Mullarkey is finishing his takedowns on 29% of his attempts and is able to curb 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Salkilld is absorbing 3.50 strikes/min and he is dishing out 5.49 per minute. Mullarkey, on the other side, absorbs 4.34 strikes/minute and deals 4.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rafael Fiziev (+100)

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