Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith
UFC Vegas 123
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Randy Brown will face off against Jacobe Smith at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The opening moneyline has Brown coming in at +235 while Smith is at -285.
Randy "Rudeboy" Brown looks to add a victory to his career record of 20-8-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Jacobe "Cobe" Smith measures 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-0-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Randy Brown is connecting on 4.39 per min while Jacobe Smith connects on 6.91 significant strikes per minute. Brown is landing 47% of the significant strikes he tries and Smith connects on 67%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Rudeboy" takes 3.35 significant strikes per min while "Cobe" takes 2.77. Brown also deflects 53% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Smith thwarts 50% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 123 | Randy Brown | Jacobe Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +235 | -285 |
| Record | 20-8-0 | 13-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:31 | 4:33 |
| Height | 6'3" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.39 | 6.91 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 67% |
When it comes to grappling, Randy Brown is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.71 times per 15 min. Brown is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and stopping 74% of the takedowns his opponents try. Smith is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his takedown tries and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, Brown is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Smith looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Randy Brown squared up with Kevin Holland and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Holland landed 137 of 176 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Brown ended the night having landed 67 of 121 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Holland ended up landing 56 of 91, which means his percentage was 61%. He finished the fight landing 24 of 55 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Brown ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 46 of 95. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 25 of 65 aimed at the head. 69% of the significant strikes connected on by Holland and 67% of them landed by Brown were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Jacobe Smith, he fought Bruce Whitehead and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Whitehead ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Smith connected on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Smith ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 11 of 17. He ended up connecting on 6 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Whitehead ended up landing 4 of 13 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 3 of 11 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Whitehead connected on 15 of 24 while Smith ended up landing 19 of 27 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ode Osbourne faces off against Cody Durden. Osbourne comes into this fight with a mark of 13-9-0 (2 NC). The 34-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Durden stands 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-11-1. The 35-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of takedowns, Ode Osbourne scores a takedown 0.94 times per 3 rds and Cody Durden takes his opponents to the canvas 3.82 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Osbourne is landing 2.94 strikes/min and connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Cody Durden, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.27 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Farman Hasanov is set to square up in the Octagon against Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani. Lebosnoyani walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Hasanov stands 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 5-0-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding takedowns, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 42% of his tries. Hasanov is finishing his takedowns on 62% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Lebosnoyani absorbs 4.05 strikes/minute while he deals 4.14 strikes/min. Hasanov, on the contrary, takes 1.00 strikes per min and connects on 1.40 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jacobe Smith (-285)
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