Ricky Simon vs Adrian Yanez Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/27/2026

Ricky Simon vs Adrian Yanez

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Ricky Simon will face off against Adrian Yanez at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opening moneyline has Simon coming in at -170 while Yanez is at +145.

Ricky Simon will be looking to add a win to his career record of 22-7-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Adrian Yanez stands in at 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Ricky Simon connects on 3.04 per minute and Adrian Yanez is connecting on 6.23 significant strikes per minute. Simon is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Yanez lands 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Simon absorbs 3.85 significant strikes per minute and Yanez allows 5.75. Simon also prevents 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Yanez defends against 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Ricky Simon predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Ricky Simon	Adrian Yanez
Opening Odds	-170	+145
Record	22-7-0	17-6-0
Average Fight Time	12:41	6:48
Height	5'6"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.04	6.23
Striking Accuracy	43%	41%

Concerning wrestling, Ricky Simon is the more skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 4.66 times per 3 rds. Simon is scoring a takedown on 41% of his tries and is stuffing 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Yanez is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he tries and defending 81% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Simon is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Yanez looks to get 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Ricky Simon squared up with Raoni Barcelos and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Barcelos ended up landing 86 of 194 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Simon walked away from this fight having landed 77 of 191 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Barcelos landed 82 of 187, which gave him a rate of 43%. He finished the fight landing 53 of 150 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Simon ended up landing 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 67 of 181. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 57 of 165 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Barcelos and 86% of them connected on by Simon were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Adrian Yanez, he battled Daniel Marcos and ended up walking away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Marcos landed 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Yanez ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Yanez landed 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 79 of 183. He landed 57 of 156 significant strikes aimed at the head. Marcos ended up connecting on 86 of 147 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 60 of 111 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Marcos ended up landing 95 of 156 while Yanez landed 85 of 189 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alexa Grasso encounters Maycee Barber. Grasso comes into this fight with a record of 16-5-1. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Barber measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 65". In the grappling category, Alexa Grasso is able to score a takedown 0.41 times per 15 minutes and Maycee Barber is able to score a takedown 1.58 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Grasso connects for an average of 4.11 strikes per min and connecting on 41% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Maycee Barber, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.61 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gabriella Fernandes is set to take on Casey O'Neill. O'Neill walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Fernandes comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding wrestling, Casey O'Neill thwarts 70% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 34% of the times she tries. Fernandes is taking her opponents to the mat on 18% of her tries and is able to thwart 68% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, O'Neill is absorbing 5.65 strikes/minute while she is dealing 7.89 strikes per minute. Fernandes, at the same time, is taking 5.19 strikes per min and is dealing 3.56 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ricky Simon (-170)

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Ricky Simon vs Adrian Yanez Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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