Ricky Turcios vs Alberto Montes Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/6/2026

Ricky Turcios vs Alberto Montes

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Ricky Turcios will battle Alberto Montes at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The opening odds have Turcios priced at +160 while Montes is priced at -185.

Ricky Turcios comes into this bout holding a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Alberto "The Promise" Montes measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Ricky Turcios lands 4.73 per min while Alberto Montes lands 4.98 significant strikes per minute. Turcios is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Montes is landing 66%. Regarding defending in the cage, Turcios allows 3.72 significant strikes per min and "The Promise" absorbs 4.85. Turcios also curbs 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Montes defends against 57% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Ricky Turcios ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 326	Ricky Turcios	Alberto Montes
Opening Odds	+160	-185
Record	13-5-0	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	13:44	7:38
Height	5'9"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.73	4.98
Striking Accuracy	40%	66%

Regarding grappling, Ricky Turcios is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rds. Turcios is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries and defending 44% of all takedowns attempted on him. Montes is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Turcios is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Montes attempts 9.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ricky Turcios squared up with Benardo Sopaj and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Sopaj landed 97 of 155 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Turcios finished this fight landing 113 of 187 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Sopaj ended up landing 81 of 139, which means his percentage was 58%. He ended up landing 64 of 117 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Turcios ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by landing 78 of 144. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 30 of 86 to the head. 59% of the significant strikes landed by Sopaj and 76% of them landed by Turcios were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Alberto Montes, he battled Carlos Calderon and ended up getting the victory by an anaconda choke in round 2. Calderon connected on 78% of his significant strikes at distance while Montes ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Montes landed 66% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 38 of 57. He connected on 28 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Calderon ended up landing 37 of 88 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 26 of 73 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Calderon connected on 40 of 94 while Montes was 38 of 58 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Durden squares up against Nyamjargal Tumendemberel. Durden walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-9-1. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 67". Tumendemberel stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of takedowns, Cody Durden takes his opponents down 3.99 times per 15 minutes while Nyamjargal Tumendemberel takes his opponents to the canvas 3.10 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Durden connects for an average of 3.66 strikes/min and is landing 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, who connects on 39% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.18 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Jesus Aguilar is set to fight Su Mudaerji. Mudaerji steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Aguilar measures in at 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 62". In the category of takedowns, Su Mudaerji curbs 71% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 11% of his tries. Aguilar is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of the attempts he tries and deflects 48% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Mudaerji is absorbing 2.39 strikes per min while he connects on 4.48 per minute. Aguilar, on the other hand, absorbs 1.85 strikes per min and is landing 2.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alberto Montes (-185)

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Ricky Turcios vs Alberto Montes Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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