Ricky Turcios vs Cameron Smotherman Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/22/2026

Ricky Turcios vs Cameron Smotherman

UFC 324

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 24, 2026

Ricky Turcios will face off with Cameron Smotherman at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The opening line has Turcios coming in at +165 while Smotherman is coming in at -190.

Ricky Turcios comes into this fight with a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Cameron "The Baby-Faced Killa" Smotherman stands 5'9" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 69". In the category of significant strikes, Ricky Turcios connects on 4.73 per minute while Cameron Smotherman lands 4.07 significant strikes per minute. Turcios is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Smotherman lands 37%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Turcios allows 3.72 significant strikes per min while "The Baby-Faced Killa" takes 3.52. Turcios also defends against 52% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Smotherman deflects 58% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Ricky Turcios predictions best bet odds

UFC 324	Ricky Turcios	Cameron Smotherman
Opening Odds	+165	-190
Record	13-5-0	12-6-0
Average Fight Time	13:44	11:30
Height	5'9"	5'9"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.73	4.07
Striking Accuracy	40%	37%

When it comes to grappling, Ricky Turcios is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is averaging a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rds. Turcios is scoring a takedown on 20% of his tries and defending 44% of all takedown attempts. Smotherman is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 62% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Turcios is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Smotherman goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Ricky Turcios faced Benardo Sopaj and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sopaj ended up landing 97 of 155 total strikes that he let go. Turcios walked away from this fight having landed 113 of 187 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Sopaj landed 81 of 139, which gave him a percentage of 58%. He ended up landing 64 of 117 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Turcios landed 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 144. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 30 of 86 to the head. 59% of the significant strikes connected on by Sopaj and 76% of them connected on by Turcios were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Cameron Smotherman, he faced off with Ricky Simon and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Simon landed 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Smotherman landed 86% of his significant strikes at distance. Smotherman landed 29% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 29 of 99. He ended up connecting on 23 of 89 significant strikes aimed at the head. Simon landed 34 of 74 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 62 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Simon ended up connecting on 50 of 94 and Smotherman landed 33 of 104 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Adam Fugitt encounters Ty Miller. Fugitt will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-5-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Miller comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 25-year-old has a reach of 77". In terms of takedowns, Adam Fugitt scores a takedown 1.83 times per 3 rounds and Ty Miller is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Fugitt tags his opponents 4.59 strikes per min and is connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Ty Miller, who is connecting on 34% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 5.60 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Rose Namajunas is set to face off with Natalia Silva. Silva holds a record of 19-5-1. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Namajunas measures in at 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-7-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning grappling, Natalia Silva is able to curb 92% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 25% of her tries. Namajunas is taking her opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries she takes and curbs 62% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Silva is absorbing 2.46 strikes per minute and she is dealing 5.04 per minute. Namajunas, in contrast, absorbs 3.38 strikes/minute and lands 3.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ricky Turcios (+165)

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Ricky Turcios vs Cameron Smotherman Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

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