Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren
UFC Vegas 123
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Rodrigo Sezinando will battle Theodor Berggren at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The opener has Sezinando priced at -169 while Berggren is priced at +144.
Rodrigo Sezinando walks into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Theodor "Simba" Berggren measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 75". When talking about significant strikes, Rodrigo Sezinando connects on 2.25 per minute and Theodor Berggren is landing 3.49 significant strikes per minute. Sezinando is connecting on 27% of the significant strikes he tries and Berggren is connecting on 35%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Sezinando allows 8.76 significant strikes per minute while "Simba" allows 10.78. Sezinando also curbs 42% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Berggren curbs 33% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 123 | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -169 | +144 |
| Record | 9-2-0 | 8-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 4:27 | 6:35 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.25 | 3.49 |
| Striking Accuracy | 27% | 35% |
Regarding grappling, Rodrigo Sezinando is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.37 times per 3 rds. Sezinando is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries and defending 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Berggren is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Sezinando is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Berggren attempts 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Rodrigo Sezinando fought Daniil Donchenko and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 1. Donchenko landed 42 of 71 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Sezinando walked away from this fight having landed 10 of 36 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Donchenko ended up landing 39 of 68, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He finished the fight landing 29 of 55 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Sezinando ended up landing 27% of his significant strikes by connecting on 10 of 36. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 7 of 30 aimed at the head. 58% of the significant strikes landed by Donchenko and 70% of them landed by Sezinando were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Theodor Berggren, he battled Daniil Donchenko and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Donchenko landed 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Berggren landed 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Berggren connected on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 23 of 64. He ended up connecting on 15 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. Donchenko connected on 71 of 107 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 44 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Donchenko ended up landing 73 of 109 and Berggren connected on 29 of 71 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Julian Erosa enters the Octagon with JeongYeong Lee. Erosa comes into this fight with a mark of 31-14-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Lee stands 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". In terms of takedowns, Julian Erosa is averaging a takedown 1.73 times per 15 minutes while JeongYeong Lee is able to score a takedown 0.63 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Erosa tags his opponents 6.18 strikes/minute and connects on 48% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is JeongYeong Lee, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.38 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Mickey Gall is set to face off against Zach Reese. Reese comes into this bout holding a record of 10-4-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 77". Gall measures 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning wrestling, Zach Reese is able to defend against 52% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 61% of his attempts. Gall is taking his opponents down on 32% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 37% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Reese absorbs 4.00 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 4.47 per minute. Gall, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.72 strikes/min and is landing 3.50 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Theodor Berggren (+144)
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