Sean O'Malley vs Song Yadong Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds
Sean O'Malley vs Song Yadong
UFC 324
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 24, 2026
Sean O'Malley will take on Song Yadong at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The opening odds have O'Malley priced at -200 while Yadong is coming in at +170.
Sean "Suga" O'Malley steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The switch fighter reaches 72". Song "Kung Fu Kid" Yadong stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-8-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Sean O'Malley connects on 6.30 per minute while Song Yadong lands 4.58 significant strikes per minute. O'Malley is connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he throws and Yadong is landing 43%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Suga" absorbs 3.48 significant strikes per min and "Kung Fu Kid" takes 4.00. O'Malley also prevents 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Yadong prevents 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

| UFC 324 | Sean O'Malley | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -200 | +170 |
| Record | 18-3-0 (1 NC) | 22-8-1 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 11:19 | 13:05 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.30 | 4.58 |
| Striking Accuracy | 61% | 43% |
In the grappling category, Sean O'Malley is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.27 times per 15 min. O'Malley is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of the times he tries and is stopping 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Yadong is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, O'Malley is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Yadong tries 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Sean O'Malley squared up with Merab Dvalishvili and wound up losing the fight via guillotine choke in round 3. Dvalishvili ended up landing 141 of 215 total strikes that he threw in that contest. O'Malley ended the night having landed 38 of 65 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Dvalishvili landed 52 of 115, which means his percentage was 45%. He landed 33 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, O'Malley landed 54% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 57. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 14 of 35 to the head. 55% of the significant strikes landed by Dvalishvili and 96% of them connected on by O'Malley were done at distance.
In the last fight for Song Yadong, he faced off with Henry Cejudo and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Cejudo connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Yadong connected on 97% of his significant strikes at distance. Yadong connected on 47% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 84 of 178. He ended up connecting on 46 of 133 significant strikes to the head. Cejudo ended up landing 67 of 133 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 40 of 100 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Cejudo connected on 67 of 133 and Yadong landed 84 of 178 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Waldo Cortes Acosta takes on Derrick Lewis. Cortes Acosta steps into the cage with a mark of 16-2-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Lewis stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 29-12-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old has an arm span of 79". When it comes to grappling, Waldo Cortes Acosta scores a takedown 0.35 times per 3 rds and Derrick Lewis is averaging a takedown 0.56 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Cortes Acosta is connecting on 5.55 strikes per minute and is landing 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Derrick Lewis, who tags the opposition on 50% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.51 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jean Silva is set to square up against Arnold Allen. Allen steps into the cage with a record of 20-3-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Silva stands in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 69". In the category of takedowns, Arnold Allen is able to thwart 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of his attempts. Silva is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Allen is taking 2.88 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 3.45 strikes/min. Silva, at the same time, is absorbing 4.69 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.79 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Song Yadong (+170)
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