Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez
UFC Houston
Toyota Center in Houston, TX
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Sean Strickland will face off with Anthony Hernandez at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The moneyline has Strickland at +215 while Hernandez is coming in at -255.
Sean Strickland steps into the cage holding a record of 29-7-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez measures in at 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Sean Strickland lands 5.95 per min and Anthony Hernandez is connecting on 4.59 significant strikes per min. Strickland is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Hernandez lands 62%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Strickland takes 4.57 significant strikes per minute while "Fluffy" absorbs 2.53. Strickland also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Hernandez is able to deflect 49% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Houston | Sean Strickland | Anthony Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +215 | -255 |
| Record | 29-7-0 | 15-2-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 16:03 | 10:27 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.95 | 4.59 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 62% |
Regarding wrestling, Sean Strickland is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.73 times per 3 rounds. Strickland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 64% of his tries and is stopping 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. Hernandez is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 68% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Strickland is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Hernandez attempts 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Sean Strickland squared up with Dricus Du Plessis and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 5. Plessis ended up landing 149 of 316 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Strickland ended the night having landed 128 of 263 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Plessis landed 147 of 314, which means his percentage was 46%. He ended up landing 50 of 193 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Strickland ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 128 of 263. Of those significant strikes, he landed 90 of 212 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Plessis and 100% of them landed by Strickland were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Anthony Hernandez, he went up against Roman Dolidze and took home the win via rear naked choke in round 4. Dolidze ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Hernandez ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Hernandez landed 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 91 of 152. He ended up connecting on 67 of 128 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dolidze ended up landing 36 of 107 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 25 of 88 aimed at the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Dolidze connected on 39 of 110 while Hernandez connected on 120 of 187 total strikes.
Other fights to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Geoff Neal enters the Octagon against Uros Medic. Neal steps into the cage holding a record of 16-7-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 75". Medic comes in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-3-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When it comes to grappling, Geoff Neal is able to score a takedown 0.54 times per 15 minutes and Uros Medic takes his opponents to the canvas 0.35 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Neal lands 5.05 strikes/min and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Uros Medic, who is landing 60% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 5.53 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Melquizael Costa is set to square up against Dan Ige. Ige holds a mark of 19-10-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Costa stands 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 25-7-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of wrestling, Dan Ige is able to thwart 56% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the times he tries. Costa is taking his opponents down on 38% of his attempts and is able to thwart 58% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Ige takes 3.56 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.64 strikes/min. Costa, moreover, is absorbing 3.06 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.42 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sean Strickland (+215)
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