Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Serghei Spivac will face off with Ante Delija at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The opener has Spivac priced at +115 while Delija is at -135.

Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Ante "Walking Trouble" Delija measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 239 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 26-7-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of significant strikes, Serghei Spivac is connecting on 3.45 per minute while Ante Delija is connecting on 4.81 significant strikes per minute. Spivac is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Delija is landing 45%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Polar Bear" absorbs 4.25 significant strikes per min and "Walking Trouble" takes 2.65. Spivac also deflects 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Delija stops 38% of the shots thrown.

In the wrestling category, Serghei Spivac is the more skilled grappler as he scores a takedown 4.21 times per 3 rds. Spivac is scoring a takedown on 62% of the times he tries and is stuffing 63% of the takedowns his opponents try. Delija is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 15% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Spivac is the more apt fighter by trying 0.5 subs per 3 rounds while Delija goes for 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Serghei Spivac fought Waldo Cortes Acosta and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Acosta landed 111 of 236 total strikes attempted in that contest. Spivac ended the night having landed 53 of 124 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Acosta ended up landing 110 of 235, which means his percentage was 46%. He finished the fight landing 76 of 196 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Spivac landed 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 48 of 119. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 39 of 109 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Acosta and 93% of them landed by Spivac were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Ante Delija, he squared up with Waldo Cortes Acosta and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Acosta ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Delija ended up connecting on 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Delija connected on 44% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 16 of 36. He connected on 13 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Acosta landed 12 of 17 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 9 of 11 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Acosta ended up landing 18 of 24 while Delija connected on 18 of 38 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Zach Reese enters the Octagon against Michel Pereira. Reese comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter stretches 77". Pereira comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 31-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 73". When it comes to grappling, Zach Reese scores a takedown 3.41 times per 15 min while Michel Pereira gets a takedown 1.13 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Reese is connecting on 4.32 strikes/min and landing 56% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Michel Pereira, who is landing 52% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.49 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Carlos Leal is set to encounter Chidi Njokuani. Njokuani comes into this bout with a record of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Leal measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 22-7-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of grappling, Chidi Njokuani is able to stop 73% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 15% of the times he tries. Leal is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Njokuani is absorbing 2.64 strikes per min and he is dealing 4.72 strikes/min. Leal, on the other hand, is absorbing 7.61 strikes per minute and lands 9.57 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ante Delija (-135)

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