Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds
Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira
UFC Baku
Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan
Saturday, June 27, 2026
Shara Magomedov will battle Michel Pereira at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 27, 2026. The opening moneyline has Magomedov at -365 while Pereira is priced at +290.
Shara "Bullet" Magomedov comes into this fight with a mark of 16-1-0. The 32-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Michel "Demolidor" Pereira stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 73". With respect to significant strikes, Shara Magomedov lands 5.93 per minute while Michel Pereira connects on 4.46 significant strikes per min. Magomedov is landing 62% of the significant strikes he tries while Pereira connects on 51%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Bullet" takes 3.85 significant strikes per min and "Demolidor" absorbs 4.40. Magomedov also defends against 43% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Pereira is able to stop 51% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Baku | Shara Magomedov | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -365 | +290 |
| Record | 16-1-0 | 32-14-0 (2 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 13:43 | 10:43 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.93 | 4.46 |
| Striking Accuracy | 62% | 51% |
In the grappling category, Shara Magomedov is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rds. Magomedov is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and is stuffing 71% of all takedown attempts. Pereira is finishing his takedown attempts on 56% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Magomedov is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Pereira tries 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Shara Magomedov faced Marc-Andre Barriault and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Barriault ended up landing 60 of 100 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Magomedov finished this fight landing 103 of 153 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Barriault landed 39 of 77, which gave him a rate of 50%. He ended up landing 24 of 54 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Magomedov landed 65% of his significant strikes by landing 93 of 142. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 42 of 82 pointed at the head. 53% of the significant strikes connected on by Barriault and 62% of them landed by Magomedov were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Michel Pereira, he went up against Zach Reese and ended up winning this fight by way of split decision in round 3. Reese ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pereira connected on 84% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pereira ended up connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 63 of 132. He connected on 29 of 75 significant strikes directed at the head. Reese ended up landing 74 of 148 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 24 of 90 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Reese connected on 81 of 160 and Pereira landed 70 of 139 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Nazim Sadykhov enters the Octagon against Matheus Camilo. Sadykhov steps into the cage with a record of 11-2-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 69". Camilo measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of takedowns, Nazim Sadykhov is able to score a takedown 1.10 times per 3 rds and Matheus Camilo is able to score a takedown 4.43 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Sadykhov is connecting on 4.79 strikes per min and is landing 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Matheus Camilo, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.19 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Charles Johnson is set to square up in the Octagon with Asu Almabayev. Almabayev looks to add a victory to his career total of 23-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Johnson comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old stretches 70". In the category of takedowns, Asu Almabayev is preventing 44% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 42% of his attempts. Johnson is finishing his takedowns on 16% of his attempts and curbs 69% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Almabayev takes 1.99 strikes/minute while he is landing 2.31 per min. Johnson, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.02 strikes/min and is landing 4.77 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michel Pereira (+290)
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