Su Mudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/6/2026

Su Mudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Su Mudaerji will take on Jesus Aguilar at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The moneyline has Mudaerji at -200 while Aguilar is coming in at +170.

Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Jesus Aguilar measures in at 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 62". Concerning significant strikes, Su Mudaerji is connecting on 4.48 per minute while Jesus Aguilar lands 2.65 significant strikes per minute. Mudaerji lands 52% of the significant strikes he tries while Aguilar is connecting on 40%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Tibetan Eagle" takes 2.39 significant strikes per minute and Aguilar takes 1.85. Mudaerji also deflects 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Aguilar stops 62% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Su Mudaerji ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 326	Su Mudaerji	Jesus Aguilar
Opening Odds	-200	+170
Record	18-7-0	12-3-0
Average Fight Time	10:42	9:10
Height	5'8"	5'4"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	72"	62"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.48	2.65
Striking Accuracy	52%	40%

Regarding takedowns, Su Mudaerji is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.16 times per 15 minutes. Mudaerji is getting his opponent to the mat on 11% of his attempts and is stuffing 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Aguilar is taking his opponents to the canvas on 31% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 48% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Mudaerji is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Aguilar tries 1.4 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Su Mudaerji went up against Kevin Borjas and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Borjas landed 23 of 51 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Mudaerji ended the night having landed 91 of 150 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Borjas landed 16 of 44, which means his percentage was 36%. He ended up landing 7 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Mudaerji ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 73 of 129. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 33 of 75 pointed at the head. 62% of the significant strikes connected on by Borjas and 91% of them connected on by Mudaerji were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Jesus Aguilar, he fought Luis Gurule and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Gurule ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance while Aguilar ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Aguilar landed 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 85 of 235. He ended up connecting on 35 of 164 significant strikes directed at the head. Gurule landed 65 of 186 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 43 of 157 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Gurule connected on 73 of 195 while Aguilar ended up landing 87 of 237 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Rafael Tobias squares up in the Octagon against Diyar Nurgozhay. Tobias looks to add a victory to his total of 14-1-0. The 22-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Nurgozhay measures 6'2" and will fight at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 74". In the grappling category, Rafael Tobias gets a takedown 3.98 times per 15 min and Diyar Nurgozhay takes his opponents to the mat 2.54 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Tobias connects on 3.45 strikes per min and connects on 30% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Diyar Nurgozhay, who lands 50% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.04 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gaston Bolanos is set to battle JeongYeong Lee. Lee will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Bolanos measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 8-5-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of wrestling, JeongYeong Lee curbs 72% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the times he tries. Bolanos is taking his opponents to the mat on 100% of the tries he takes and stops 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Lee absorbs 3.82 strikes per minute and he deals 3.38 per minute. Bolanos, on the other hand, takes 2.40 strikes/min and connects on 3.28 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jesus Aguilar (+170)

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Su Mudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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