Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/13/2026

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz

UFC Edmonton

Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Tanner Boser will take on Jhonata Diniz at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The odds have Boser priced at +205 while Diniz is priced at -240.

Tanner "The Bulldozer" Boser steps into the cage with a mark of 22-11-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 245 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Jhonata Diniz comes in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 9-2-0. The 35-year-old stretches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Tanner Boser is connecting on 4.82 per minute and Jhonata Diniz lands 3.89 significant strikes per minute. Boser is landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Diniz is connecting on 56%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Bulldozer" allows 3.00 significant strikes per minute and Diniz allows 3.62. Boser also defends against 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Diniz is able to stop 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Tanner Boser predictions best bet odds

UFC Edmonton	Tanner Boser	Jhonata Diniz
Opening Odds	+205	-240
Record	22-11-1	9-2-0
Average Fight Time	10:52	9:56
Height	6'2"	6'4"
Weight	245 lbs	254 lbs
Reach	75"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.82	3.89
Striking Accuracy	53%	56%

Regarding grappling, Tanner Boser is the more capable wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. Boser is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is defending 69% of all takedown tries against him. Diniz is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 70% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the submission, Boser is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 subs per 15 min while Diniz attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Tanner Boser went up against Gokhan Saricam and ended up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 2. Saricam landed 79 of 145 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Boser walked away from this fight having landed 77 of 117 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Saricam landed 57 of 121, which means his percentage was 47%. He ended up landing 40 of 101 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Boser ended up landing 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 60 of 97. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 30 of 64 aimed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes connected on by Saricam and 78% of them landed by Boser were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Jhonata Diniz, he went up against Mario Pinto and took a loss on the night by punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Pinto landed 6% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Diniz landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Diniz connected on 20% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 1 of 5. He landed 0 of 2 significant strikes directed at the head. Pinto ended up connecting on 29 of 33 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 28 of 31 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Pinto connected on 87 of 102 and Diniz ended up connecting on 4 of 9 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Julien Leblanc encounters Nick Galanti. Leblanc looks to add a win to his total of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Galanti comes in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In the grappling category, Julien Leblanc is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds and Nick Galanti gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Leblanc tags his opponents 1.69 strikes/min and connecting on 66% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Nick Galanti, who tags the opposition on 80% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 13.71 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Steven Koslow is set to battle Chad Anheliger. Anheliger holds a career mark of 13-8-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Koslow comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of grappling, Chad Anheliger is thwarting 38% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 30% of his attempts. Koslow is taking his opponents down on 55% of the tries he takes and defends against 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Anheliger is absorbing 2.76 strikes/min and he lands 3.11 strikes/min. Koslow, on the contrary, is taking 3.73 strikes/min and lands 0.77 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tanner Boser (+205)

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Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

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