Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes Pick, 07/18/2026 Predictions UFC Oklahoma City Odds
Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes
UFC Oklahoma City
Paycom Center in Oklahoma City
Saturday, July 18, 2026
Tommy McMillen will enter the Octagon with Alberto Montes at UFC Oklahoma City on Saturday, July 18, 2026. The opener has McMillen at -125 while Montes is at +105.
Tommy "Gun" McMillen walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Alberto "The Promise" Montes stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 12-1-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 69". Concerning significant strikes, Tommy McMillen connects on 9.87 per min and Alberto Montes connects on 5.26 significant strikes per min. McMillen is landing 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Montes lands 60%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Gun" absorbs 5.54 significant strikes per minute and "The Promise" takes 4.44. McMillen also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Montes is able to curb 60% of the shots thrown his way.

| UFC Oklahoma City | Tommy McMillen | Alberto Montes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -125 | +105 |
| Record | 10-0-0 | 12-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:29 | 6:39 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.87 | 5.26 |
| Striking Accuracy | 53% | 60% |
Concerning takedowns, Tommy McMillen is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. McMillen is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries and stopping 83% of all takedown attempts. Montes is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing opponents, McMillen is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.5 subs per 15 min while Montes goes for 6.8 subs per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Tommy McMillen fought Manolo Zecchini and ended up getting the win by way of a knee to the body in round 1. Zecchini landed 21 of 64 total strikes that he let go in that contest. McMillen finished this fight landing 76 of 138 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Zecchini ended up landing 20 of 61, which gave him a percentage of 32%. He ended up landing 14 of 48 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, McMillen ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 74 of 134. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 51 of 98 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Zecchini and 83% of them landed by McMillen were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Alberto Montes, he fought Ricky Turcios and took home the win via an anaconda choke in round 2. Turcios ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Montes connected on 81% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Montes ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 58. He ended up landing 19 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. Turcios ended up landing 22 of 60 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 14 of 51 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Turcios was 36 of 74 and Montes ended up landing 39 of 65 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Austin Bashi encounters Jose Delgado. Bashi looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Delgado stands in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Austin Bashi takes his opponents to the canvas 7.81 times per 15 minutes while Jose Delgado takes his opponents to the mat 1.51 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Bashi is connecting on 1.75 strikes per minute and landing 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Jose Delgado, who connects on 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands 7.48 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Seokhyeon Ko is set to square up with Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani. Lebosnoyani holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Ko stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 32-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to takedowns, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani prevents 10% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts. Ko is taking his opponents to the mat on 63% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Lebosnoyani absorbs 3.72 strikes/min and he is landing 4.77 strikes/min. Ko, in contrast, is taking 1.42 strikes/min and lands 2.73 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alberto Montes (+105)
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