Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/22/2026

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo

UFC 324

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 24, 2026

Umar Nurmagomedov will take on Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The opening line has Nurmagomedov coming in at -1500 while Figueiredo is at +850.

Umar Nurmagomedov steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Deiveson "Deus da Guerra" Figueiredo measures 5'5" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 25-5-1. The 38-year-old extends his reach 68". When talking about significant strikes, Umar Nurmagomedov is landing 4.08 per minute and Deiveson Figueiredo is landing 2.75 significant strikes per min. Nurmagomedov connects on 57% of the significant strikes he attempts and Figueiredo lands 54%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Nurmagomedov allows 2.04 significant strikes per minute while "Deus da Guerra" takes 3.54. Nurmagomedov also prevents 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Figueiredo thwarts 49% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Umar Nurmagomedov predictions best bet odds

UFC 324	Umar Nurmagomedov	Deiveson Figueiredo
Opening Odds	-1500	+850
Record	19-1-0	25-5-1
Average Fight Time	13:57	12:45
Height	5'8"	5'5"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.08	2.75
Striking Accuracy	57%	54%

Concerning wrestling, Umar Nurmagomedov is the more capable wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 4.30 times per 15 minutes. Nurmagomedov is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of the times he tries and is stopping 79% of all takedown attempts. Figueiredo is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Nurmagomedov is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Figueiredo looks to get 1.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

AUGUST YOUNG is up nearly +13,000 with his UFC predictions and is kicking off the 2026 campaign with a 7-Unit UFC Play (6:30 p.m.) Saturday. Young is up nearly +13,000 with his UFC plays rated 6.0+, posting a 13.65 ROI, and you can sign up below to get in on the action.

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our UFC Picks

In his previous bout, Umar Nurmagomedov faced Mario Bautista and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Bautista landed 33 of 67 total strikes attempted in that contest. Nurmagomedov finished this fight landing 81 of 105 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Bautista ended up landing 20 of 54, which gave him a rate of 37%. He ended up landing 6 of 37 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nurmagomedov ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 32 of 54. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 24 of 44 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Bautista and 71% of them landed by Nurmagomedov were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Deiveson Figueiredo, he went up against Montel Jackson and wound up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Jackson ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Figueiredo ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Figueiredo ended up connecting on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 23 of 43. He ended up connecting on 4 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Jackson ended up connecting on 30 of 70 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 14 of 51 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Jackson landed 30 of 70 while Figueiredo connected on 23 of 44 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ateba Gautier meets Andrey Pulyaev. Gautier will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 81". Pulyaev measures 6'4" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In the grappling category, Ateba Gautier takes his opponents down 0.98 times per 3 rds while Andrey Pulyaev scores a takedown 0.41 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Gautier connects for an average of 6.57 strikes per minute and connecting on 60% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Andrey Pulyaev, who lands 60% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.81 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Modestas Bukauskas is set to go up against Nikita Krylov. Krylov walks into the cage holding a record of 30-11-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Bukauskas stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 19-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of wrestling, Nikita Krylov prevents 53% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts and defends against 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Krylov absorbs 2.58 strikes per min while he dishes out 4.31 strikes per minute. Bukauskas, moreover, takes 3.93 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Umar Nurmagomedov (-1500)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	January 25, 2026 @ 12:00 PM
Expert:	Griffin Murphy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks