Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/19/2026

Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Vinicius Oliveira will face off with Andre Fili at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The line has Oliveira at -285 while Fili is priced at +245.

Vinicius "LokDog" Oliveira comes into this fight holding a mark of 23-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Andre "Touchy" Fili measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 25-13-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Vinicius Oliveira connects on 4.73 per min and Andre Fili is landing 3.88 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Fili is landing 37%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "LokDog" absorbs 2.70 significant strikes per minute while "Touchy" takes 4.34. Oliveira also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Fili is able to thwart 50% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 119	Vinicius Oliveira	Andre Fili
Opening Odds	-285	+245
Record	23-4-0	25-13-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	12:05	10:43
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.73	3.88
Striking Accuracy	43%	37%

In terms of takedowns, Vinicius Oliveira is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.45 times per 15 min. Oliveira is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of his attempts and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Fili is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 71% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Oliveira is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Fili attempts 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Vinicius Oliveira squared up with Mario Bautista and ended up walking away in defeat by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Bautista landed 49 of 63 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Oliveira walked away from this fight having landed 18 of 27 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Bautista landed 15 of 27, giving him a percentage of 55%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 20 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Oliveira landed 57% of his significant strikes by landing 12 of 21. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 10 pointed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes connected on by Bautista and 75% of them connected on by Oliveira were done at distance.

In the last bout for Andre Fili, he squared up with Christian Rodriguez and wound up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Rodriguez connected on 83% of his significant strikes at distance while Fili landed 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Fili ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 64 of 182. He ended up landing 52 of 164 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rodriguez landed 83 of 174 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 49 of 130 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Rodriguez landed 95 of 190 while Fili ended up landing 74 of 193 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Andre Lima squares up against Kevin Borjas. Lima will be looking to add a victory to his record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Borjas measures 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 10-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 68". In the grappling category, Andre Lima gets his opposition to the mat 1.36 times per 15 minutes and Kevin Borjas is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lima connects on 4.06 strikes/minute and connecting on 60% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Kevin Borjas, who is landing 44% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.96 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Mitch Raposo is set to enter the Octagon against Allan Nascimento. Nascimento steps into the Octagon with a record of 22-6-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Raposo comes in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 64". In terms of grappling, Allan Nascimento prevents 37% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 23% of his tries. Raposo is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the tries he takes and prevents 61% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Nascimento absorbs 2.53 strikes/min while he lands 3.06 strikes per minute. Raposo, at the same time, is absorbing 2.65 strikes/min and is landing 1.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Vinicius Oliveira (-285)

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Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

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