Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund Pick, 03/14/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 114 Odds

Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund

UFC Vegas 114

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Vitor Petrino will enter the Octagon against Steven Asplund at UFC Vegas 114 on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The opening moneyline has Petrino at -260 while Asplund is priced at +220.

Vitor Petrino has a career record of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 225 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Steven "Concrete" Asplund comes in at 6'5" and is fighting at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Vitor Petrino lands 2.75 per min while Steven Asplund lands 19.93 significant strikes per minute. Petrino lands 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Asplund lands 58%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Petrino absorbs 2.48 significant strikes per minute and "Concrete" allows 7.49. Petrino also prevents 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Asplund prevents 57% of them.

In the wrestling category, Vitor Petrino is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 3.04 times per 3 rounds. Petrino is scoring a takedown on 51% of his attempts and stopping 79% of all takedown tries against him. Asplund is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Petrino is the more skilled technician by going for 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Asplund goes for 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Vitor Petrino faced Thomas Petersen and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 3. Petersen landed 41 of 62 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Petrino walked away from this fight having landed 33 of 61 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Petersen ended up landing 16 of 35, giving him a percentage of 45%. He landed 7 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Petrino landed 57% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 54. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 25 of 46 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Petersen and 41% of them landed by Petrino were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Steven Asplund, he fought Sean Sharaf and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Sharaf ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Asplund ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Asplund landed 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 170 of 292. He landed 154 of 276 significant strikes to the head. Sharaf landed 66 of 153 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 50 of 134 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Sharaf ended up connecting on 66 of 154 while Asplund landed 172 of 294 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Charles Johnson squares up against Bruno Silva. Johnson looks to add a victory to his total of 18-8-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Silva measures in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 15-7-2 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 65". Regarding grappling, Charles Johnson gets a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rds while Bruno Silva gets a takedown 2.30 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Johnson lands 4.68 strikes/min and is connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Bruno Silva, who tags the opposition on 50% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.82 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Eryk Anders is set to square up with Brad Tavares. Tavares looks to add a win to his career total of 21-12-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Anders measures in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-9-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Brad Tavares thwarts 81% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 26% of his attempts. Anders is finishing his takedowns on 24% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Tavares takes 3.36 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.42 strikes per min. Anders, on the other side, is absorbing 4.09 strikes per min and lands 3.51 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Steven Asplund (+220)

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