Yana Santos vs Luana Santos Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds

Yana Santos vs Luana Santos

UFC Vegas 123

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Yana Santos will face off with Luana Santos at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The opening moneyline has Santos priced at +212 while Santos is coming in at -255.

Yana "Foxy" Santos looks to add a win to her total of 17-8-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Luana Santos measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Yana Santos connects on 4.41 per minute and Luana Santos is connecting on 2.53 significant strikes per min. Santos connects on 57% of the significant strikes she tries while Santos is landing 53%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Foxy" takes 3.12 significant strikes per minute and Santos allows 2.45. Santos also thwarts 52% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Santos is able to deflect 64% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In the grappling category, Yana Santos is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.78 times per 3 rounds. Santos is getting her opponent to the mat on 47% of her tries and is defending 51% of the takedowns her opponents try. Santos is getting her opponent to the mat on 37% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding sub attempts, Santos is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Santos goes for 1.0 submission per 3 rds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Yana Santos went up against Macy Chiasson and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Chiasson ended up landing 91 of 158 total strikes that she threw in that contest. Santos ended the night having landed 115 of 176 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Chiasson landed 54 of 118, which means her percentage was 45%. She finished the fight landing 25 of 76 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Santos ended up landing 52% of her significant strikes by connecting on 65 of 124. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 29 of 74 pointed at the head. 44% of the significant strikes landed by Chiasson and 44% of them landed by Santos were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Luana Santos, she battled Karol Rosa and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa connected on 85% of her significant strikes at distance and Santos ended up landing 66% of her significant strikes at distance. Santos ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 9 of 11. She ended up connecting on 6 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Rosa ended up connecting on 7 of 26 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up connecting on 4 of 20 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Rosa ended up landing 126 of 147 while Santos ended up connecting on 110 of 120 total strikes.

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Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Talita Alencar takes on Piera Rodriguez. Alencar holds a career record of 8-1-1. The 36-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 58". Rodriguez comes in at 5'3" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 63". In terms of takedowns, Talita Alencar gets a takedown 3.01 times per 3 rounds while Piera Rodriguez takes her opponents to the canvas 4.04 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Alencar lands 3.09 strikes/minute and is landing 36% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Piera Rodriguez, who is landing 46% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.04 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Tom Nolan is set to face off with Renato Moicano. Moicano looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-7-1. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Nolan stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old stretches 73". Concerning grappling, Renato Moicano is able to defend against 64% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts. Nolan is finishing his takedowns on 26% of his tries and deflects 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Moicano is taking 3.55 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.10 strikes/minute. Nolan, on the other side, is absorbing 3.74 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Yana Santos (+212)

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