Zach Reese vs Michel Pereira Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/20/2026

Zach Reese vs Michel Pereira

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Zach Reese will face off against Michel Pereira at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The opener has Reese at +135 while Pereira is at -155.

Zach "Savage" Reese comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter stretches 77". Michel "Demolidor" Pereira comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 31-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Zach Reese is landing 4.32 per min while Michel Pereira connects on 4.49 significant strikes per min. Reese is landing 56% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pereira is connecting on 52%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Savage" allows 3.82 significant strikes per min and "Demolidor" absorbs 4.35. Reese also deflects 39% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Pereira curbs 51% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Michel Pereira predictions best bet odds

UFC Houston	Zach Reese	Michel Pereira
Opening Odds	+135	-155
Record	10-2-0 (1 NC)	31-14-0 (2 NC)
Average Fight Time	5:30	10:24
Height	6'4"	6'1"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	77"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.32	4.49
Striking Accuracy	56%	52%

Regarding grappling, Zach Reese is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents down 3.41 times per 15 minutes. Reese is scoring a takedown on 66% of his tries and stuffing 57% of all takedown tries against him. Pereira is taking his opponents to the mat on 52% of his takedown tries and is stopping 76% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Reese is the more apt fighter by attempting 1.4 submissions per 15 min while Pereira looks to get 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Zach Reese fought Jackson McVey and took home the win by rear naked choke in round 2. McVey ended up landing 68 of 86 total strikes attempted in that fight. Reese ended the night having landed 81 of 97 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, McVey landed 56 of 73, which gave him a percentage of 76%. He landed 28 of 39 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Reese ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 32 of 42. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 21 of 31 to the head. 16% of the significant strikes connected on by McVey and 46% of them landed by Reese were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Michel Pereira, he battled Kyle Daukaus and ended up taking the loss via an elbow to the head in round 1. Daukaus ended up landing 20% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pereira ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Pereira ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 2 of 4. He ended up landing 0 of 1 significant strikes to the head. Daukaus landed 5 of 8 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 8 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Daukaus was 7 of 12 and Pereira ended up connecting on 2 of 4 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Chidi Njokuani faces off against Carlos Leal. Njokuani comes into this bout with a record of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Leal measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 22-7-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 74". When it comes to grappling, Chidi Njokuani takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rounds while Carlos Leal gets a takedown 0.75 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Njokuani tags his opponents 4.72 strikes per min and landing 62% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Carlos Leal, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he attempts and lands 9.57 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Alibi Idiris is set to enter the Octagon with Ode Osbourne. Osbourne holds a career mark of 13-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Idiris comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to takedowns, Ode Osbourne is thwarting 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 30% of the times he tries. Idiris is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts and thwarts 60% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Osbourne is taking 3.43 strikes/min and he connects on 3.07 per min. Idiris, notwithstanding, is taking 3.60 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Zach Reese (+135)

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Zach Reese vs Michel Pereira Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

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