A Deeper Look: North Texas and Central Florida, Week 10
by Strike Point Sports - 11/01/2006
UCF is coming off a bad loss to Houston while the Mean Green have still managed to prove they can not put up offensively to save their season.
Another conference loss, another game without a touchdown and now North Texas' trajectory is closer to the cellar of the Sun Belt than the top. The Mean Green's 14-6 setback to Troy this past Saturday only continued to show how awful they are with the ball and could simply be the worst offense in college football in the past five years.
Running back Jamario Thomas couldn't have been more ineffective. North Texas' best player was held to 23 yards on 18 carries, good for a stout 1.3 average. It should be just impressive enough that the quarterbacks didn't turn the ball over, but that still didn't stop Woody Wilson and Daniel Meager from lacking production. The two combined for 11 completions for 147 yards.
Zero percent (0-13) on third downs is one stat that says everything. North Texas cannot convert and move the ball when it matters. Eight penalties for 65 yards also doesn't help the cause. Of the 119 D I-A teams, North Texas could easily be the worst overall offensively and certainly close to worst in every offensive category.
Predicted Score: Troy 24, North Texas 17
Actual Score: Troy 14, North Texas 6
Next Upcoming Game: Louisiana Tech at North Texas 11/4 7 pm
The poor conference play is at least put off for another week so that North Texas can conclude its non-conference schedule. WAC minnow La Tech visits the Mean Green with an equally poor 2-6 record.
The Bulldogs can score but have an even worse time stopping their opponents from reaching the end zone. They have allowed a whopping 324 points so far this season while only managing 141. However for La Tech, North Texas couldn't score on Paris Hilton.
La Tech quarterback Zac Champion has much more effective than UNT quarterbacks but still has more interceptions than touchdowns.
After last week's debacle for North Texas, they now rank dead last in the nation in total yards at 225. They are also worse than more than 100 teams in passing yards, rushing yards and points scored per game.
Prediction: Louisiana Tech 23, North Texas 13
Well, it was another nail in the coffin for UCF with their 51-31 setback this past Saturday to Houston. Now 1-3 in the East division and second last in C-USA overall, the season and bowl hopes for the Knights is frankly all but over. With four games left on the schedule, the best they can hope for is a 6-6 season.
There was no shortage of offense when the Knights collided with Kevin Kolb and the Cougars last week. Both teams totaled more than 1,000 yards of offense while combining for eleven touchdowns. Unfortunately for the Golden Knights, turnovers did them in, accounting for four mistakes in the game.
It was another exceptional game for sophomore tailback Kevin Smith, as he accumulated 163 yards and three touchdowns. For Houston, quarterback Kevin Kolb tallied more than 300 yards through the air and three scores.
Predicted Score: Houston 34, Central Florida 23
Actual Score: Houston 51, Central Florida 31
Next Upcoming Game: East Carolina at Central Florida 11/4 - 4 p.m.
Next up for the Knights is East Carolina. Despite posting a mediocre 4-4 mark, the Pirates are giants against the number. So far ECU is 7-1 ATS this year.
Both teams are very well matched statistically, however the one weak link for UCF is their defense. The Knights have given up 266 points this year while ECU has allowed just 182.
Offensively, the biggest threat is the aerial partnership of quarterback James Pinkney and wide out Aundrae Allison. The two have hooked up 36 times for 460 yards and three scores.
Both teams rank in the top 50 in total yards, so this game will more likely be a shootout than a defensive struggle. However the Pirates will have several more key stops than the home team in this one.
Prediction: East Carolina 27, Central Florida 21