Top NFL Totals Predictions For Week 6
by Gary Patrick Garry - 10/09/2007
Tennessee at Tampa Bay
Total: 38 (Courtesy of BetUs)
Tampa Bay suffered another setback at the running back position on Sunday when Michael Pittman went down for 6-8 weeks with an ankle injury. He was Carnell Williams' replacement, and Mike Alstott is on the injured reserve list as well. So the Bucs are depleted at the running back position and will go with Ernest Graham, who rushed six times for 11 yards last week against the Colts. Tampa Bay rushed for a total of 17 yards in that game, and they managed just 177 yards of total offense.
Tennessee has played four games, and all four of them have stayed under the total. Their defense has been tough against the run, allowing opponents 72.3 yards per game on the ground. The Titans are allowing an average of 14.8 points per game, and just 12 points per game on the road.
Tampa will come into this game smarting from the spanking they took last week in Indianapolis. They know their offense is not going to outscore anybody. They need to play good defense to win this game, and Gruden will have them supremely motivated to do just that. I like this game under the total of 38.
Oakland at San Diego
Total: 44.5 (Courtesy of BetCRIS)
The Lightening Bolts held the Broncos to a mere field goal a week ago, and they limited the Denver ground game to just 72 yards on 20 carries while gaining 214 rushing yards themselves. That is a winning formula, and the Chargers will try to use it again this week against the Oakland Raiders.
The Raiders have been lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 21, 20, 26, and 35 in their four games so far this year, all of them eclipsing the total. But these were their opponents: Detroit, Denver, Cleveland, and Miami.
It is not going to be as easy for Oakland to run the football in this game as it has been against the defensive doormats of the NFL. WSEX and BetUs have the total at 44, while BetCRIS and Sportsbetting have the number at 43.5.
Each of the last four meetings between these two teams has stayed under the total, and I look for this one to do the same.
New Orleans at Seattle
Total: 43 (Courtesy of Sportsbetting.com)
The Saints are still looking for their first win, and Seattle will be attempting to rebound from their 21-0 whitewashing at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday. The Steelers controlled the ball for more than 40 minutes in that contest, and they held Seattle to 144 yards of total offense. The Seahawks completed just two passes in the second half and Shaun Alexander ran for 25 yards on 11 carries. Seattle was without impact wide receiver Deion Branch, and he is expected to miss Sunday's game against the Saints as well.
New Orleans has played under the total in three of their four games this year, averaging 12.8 points per game in the process. They are playing without injured running back Deuce McAllister, and his absence has hurt the Saints running offense. New Orleans is averaging just 82 rushing yards per game this season.
Seattle has stayed under in four of their five games, and they are scoring 17.4 points per game while allowing 14.8. The last four Seattle home games have stayed under the total, and the last two meetings between the Saints and the Seahawks have failed to reach the posted total.
I like this game under the total of 43.