The Advisory Board: Weekly Prescription
by Doc's Advisory Board - 10/09/2007
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In the meantime, here's the inside scoop into the betting world from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports:
What a week for Doc's Sports, as we nailed our College Game of the Year and have yet to have a losing day on the diamond. The big upset happened in Los Angeles, when USC lost straight-up despite being a 40-point home favorite. People are saying that this is a bigger upset then what Appalachian State did to Michigan, but I don't buy that. The spread may have been higher but Stanford is still a conference game and has came close to knocking them off a couple of times in the past. That being said, John David Booty is not Carson Palmer or Matt Leinart and USC should enter as an underdog when they play California, Nov. 10 in Berkeley. LSU had a similar scare from Florida but was able to hold them off and I have to give props for Coach Miles and his gusty decisions to go for it on numerous fourth down attempts. Besides LSU, the race is wide open for the second spot and this may be the first time that the BSC Title Game features two one-loss teams. Remember, LSU still has to play at Kentucky, at Alabama, and then in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 1.
Here are a couple of games to watch this week.
Colorado at Arizona (National League Championship Series)
Two surprise teams are set to open up the final four in the desert on Thursday. Expect the American League representative to be a big favorite in the World Series, but either the Rockies or Diamondbacks will be allowed to pull off that shocking upset. It's hard to get a read on who has the edge in this series, but I do believe that Arizona must win game one behind Brandon Webb. The Rockies have lost just one game in three weeks and these two teams have played each other 18 times already this season. Webb has always struggled against Colorado, but did win a clinching game in Coors Field on Sept. 28, a win that put the Snakes into the postseason.
Boston College at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 13)
The Irish are coming off a shocking victory against UCLA, a game in which they had only 46 yards rushing and 140 yards of total offense. How did they do it? Try seven turnovers by UCLA. Boston College is a much better team then UCLA and will enter this game undefeated, coming off a pounding of Bowling Green. Hard to imagine having to lay two touchdowns in South Bend, but if the Eagles do not beat themselves, they will emerge victorious.
This week will look to keep piling up the winners, as we will release our "Big 12 Game of the Year." This is a can't miss play for any big game hunter and we have currently hit seven of our eight top releases dating back to the NFLX season in August. Best of luck and together lets have an outstanding week. Don't forget to check out our Insider's Page.
We're only a week into October and it has already been a solid month! We still have yet to have a losing day in the MLB playoffs, posting a profit in nine straight days. See, a lot of people talk about how the postseason is the "Second Season" in the MLB. Not me. For me it's like the old adage: "Money doesn't change people, it just magnifies their personalities." I feel the same way about the playoffs in any sport. It doesn't change players, coaches, or teams; it just magnifies who they really are. With that in mind I've been playing on and against pitchers, umpires, and teams in the same spots that I have been all year. The result: nearly +300 Units in total profit for the year!
In football, we'll be rolling out a slew of major plays this weekend. First, we're dropping our NCAA Football Rivalry Game of the Year. This one is definitely going to be a surprise to some people but I think I've found an excellent position to capitalize on. Next, we'll be rolling out our Gridiron Game of the Week, which is still undefeated on the season (+21 Units). And finally, we're going with our NFL Game of the Month. This is going to be one of our strongest selections of the year and hopefully the coup de grace of another moneymaking weekend.
Here are a few games I'm going to have my eye on this week:
Georgia at Vanderbilt (6 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 13)
Call me crazy, but I'm looking long and hard at the Commodores in this one. They brought back 16 starters from the team that upset the Bulldogs in Athens last year. Yes, they are 1-6 ATS at home against UGA, and yes the Bulldogs will be smarting from their blowout loss at Tennessee last week. But Georgia plays Florida next week so they may be looking ahead a bit.
Central Florida at South Florida (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 13)
The Bulls were caught in a letdown spot last week against Florida Atlantic, and now we may catch their attention drifting to next Thursday's revenge game at Rutgers. But they shouldn't look past the Knights in what is quickly becoming a heated in-state rivalry. Right now UCF is getting nearly two touchdowns and that's an awful lot for a rivalry game. However, the Knights are just 1-10 ATS against the Big East.
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (NLCS)
I can't wait to find out who the umps are for this series because that always has a dramatic impact on how the games played out. But beyond that, I have to say that I really like the Rockies in this series. The Diamondbacks have been a statistical anomaly all year and I will back the stronger lineup, better bullpen, and the team with the most versatility in its rotation. The Rockies won the season series, they've won six of seven in this matchup, and I think that Colorado has a better chance of winning in the desert than the D-Backs have at winning in the mountains.
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
What a horrible Saturday we had! Not only did my college football picks go down the drain but also the Arizona Diamondbacks in baseball swept my Chicago Cubs. At least NFL Sunday we came out ahead with +3 Units. Too bad Baltimore couldn't cover because we would have had a monster Sunday.
The first round of the baseball playoffs were a bore as three out of the four series were sweeps. So here are three games that I have my eye on this week:
Illinois at Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 13)
Illinois comes into this game off a huge win over Wisconsin, 31-26, and the Fighting Illini have won five straight and covered four ATS. Iowa has struggled in their last four games and the Hawkeyes have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country and in the Big Ten. The line posted Illinois -3.5 on the road and the way Iowa has struggled this year I might take a shot win the hot Orange Crush on the road.
Washington at Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday Oct. 13)
The Cheese Heads blew a lead Sunday night against the Chicago Bears and now the Packers have a hot Washington team coming in town. Washington has shown great defense and the Redskins have been able to run the ball so that helps the young QB in the pocket. Green Bay opened at -3 at home but if the Packers struggle with the run this could be another home loss for Brett Favre and the Packers.
STRIKE POINTS SPORTS
Is it just me or are these baseball playoffs a complete downer? I for one was so pumped to see some really competitive series, but so far the 2007 postseason has been nothing good. Oh, and it also doesn't help that TBS broadcasts the majority of the games, denying me the right to HD baseball.
Here are several playoff match-ups we'll be following.
NLCS: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
There is hot and on fire, then there is what this Colorado team has been doing. They won 17 of their last 18 games and everyone and their mother has to think this team is striding into the World Series. I can see it, but I am with this Diamondbacks team. All Chris Carter does is catch touchdown passes, and all these Baby Backs do is win. They have been coming through with postseason-like victories since July, getting clutch hit after clutch hit. They have the best pitcher in the series in Brandon Webb, a veteran postseason master in Livan Hernandez and a bullpen that has been lights out nearly the whole year. Arizona in six.
ALCS: Red Sox vs. Indians
The Red Sox look awfully good; and I don't like it. Boston has their championship, so I want more parity. We're going to get a wonderful surprise representing the NL, so why not have Cleveland in the mix as well. This city hasn't had a title in eons, even more so why the Tribe needs to take part in the World Series and give baseball some new life and an ultra-enjoyable series.