The Advisory Board: Weekly Prescription
by Doc's Advisory Board - 11/13/2007
This is a great time to be on board with the boys at Doc's Sports Services as we are in the peak gambling time of the year. Football is at the height of its power, hockey has begun and is proving to be profitable yet again, and basketball - both professional and college - is in full swing. To some people all of this action is overwhelming. But for the pros at Doc's Sports it's just another day at the office! Remember, we do the research and we do the work so you don't have to. All you have to do is place the bets, watch the games, and collect the cash. Good times.
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In the meantime, here's the inside scoop into the betting world from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports:
The BCS Standings were shaken up yet again with the No. 1 team in the land falling, as Illinois took down Ohio State. LSU now appears to be in the driver's seat, but the schedule is tough for them, with Arkansas plus the SEC Championship remaining. Kansas continues to move up the standings as well, coming off an impressive victory at Oklahoma State over the weekend. Many believe that if they win out they will be playing LSU in the BSC Championship Game. That will leave Oregon on the outside looking in yet again. The Ducks have two road games left before hosting Oregon State in the Civil War. Oregon does not have any quality opponents remaining on their schedule and thus will not be able to impress the voters. It will be interesting to see how things shake up. If LSU makes it to New Orleans, expect them to be a hefty favorite because of the location near its campus in Baton Rouge. That being said, Les Miles has yet to prove to me he can win big games, despite his renegade style of coaching this season.
Here are a couple of games to keep an eye out for this weekend:
Ohio State at Michigan (Saturday 12:00 p.m.) NCAAF
Both teams are coming into this game off of a loss for the first time since the 1960s and the winner of this game will earn a trip to the Rose Bowl. Michigan is still banged up and most people have had a hard time this year guessing if QB Henne and RB Hart will play in games. If Michigan is to have a chance in this game, both must see action. The Wolverines do have a history of beating Ohio State when they have nothing nationally to play for and Coach Carr desperately needs this game to keep the haters off of his back.
USC at South Carolina (Saturday) NCAAB
A battle of USCs takes place Saturday in Columbia, South Carolina. Dave Odom has managed to keep his job for another season despite a mediocre record and numerous trips to the NIT come March, including a couple of titles. The USC Trojans were expecting big things this year with O.J. Mayo hand-picking the school, but suffered an embarrassing loss to Mercer to open the season. Both teams need this win and South Carolina went into L.A. last year and opened the new arena, Galen Center with a victory. Will USC return the favor? I think I have the answer.
San Antonio at Dallas (Thursday) NBA
The Spurs are firing on all cylinders to open the season and they have opened to a 6-1 record and their defense is No. 1 in points allowed. They can match any team's style - they can play a grind-it-out defensive game or they can run with the best of them. But they usually outplay the competition at both ends of the court. But this Mavericks team will be very hungry for a win in front of the home fans. The division looks really tough this season and as of Wednesday they are in fourth place at 4-2. We expect to have a play on this one.
This will be our last full card of the season in college football and we would love to have you aboard. College Hoops is starting to heat up as well, as this is our opening week. NBA has been profitable to start off the season and is on a 6-2 run as of Tuesday. Sign-up for these sports and watch the winners pour in. Don't forget to check out our Insider's Page.
Daddy has been waiting for college hoops to start for six months and man, am I glad it is here. Yes, football has been a bloodbath this year with each week consistently being worse than the last. However, hoops is now front-and-center in my mind and football is left for amateurs to try to make any serious cash. Oh, I'm not saying that football is over. There is still money to be made. But I will nearly guarantee that I will make more money between now and the Super Bowl betting on college basketball than most pro handicappers will on the gridiron. There are simply hundreds more games on the hardwood, softer lines, and more odd places to find winners (like the OVC) that the numbers are all on my side.
And with that in mind, here are some games I'll have my eye on this week:
Davidson at North Carolina (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 14)
The Wildcats open their D-I season in the Dean Dome against the team that most prognosticators (especially those with a full-blown case of East Coast Bias) have cutting down the nets next April. Davidson likes to get out and run and I think that plays right into UNC's hands. The Heels are always facing bloated lines, and they failed to cover against a top-flight mid-major last year as 12-point favorites versus Winthrop, but I think they can lock down on Stephen Curry and run the Cats out of the gym. However, if this line starts over 15 we have to consider dropping some dimes on Davidson.
Marist at Miami (11:30 a.m., Thursday, Nov. 15)
I know that this game is even less appealing than the crappy "Sarah Silverman Show", but bear with me here. The game is being played before noon in San Juan, so will that help the underdog? No, I say it helps the team with more talent, better big men, the best player on the floor, more experience, and a shorter distance to travel. Pray that this line is below -7 and we will hammer the Hurricanes, who I expect a strong showing out in Puerto Rico.
Virginia at Arizona (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 17)
Last year the Cavaliers stunned the Wildcats 93-90 in what was one of the more entertaining games of the season. Will Arizona get revenge? Well, I think we'll find out a lot about Arizona's attitude by how they play against Northern Arizona on Tuesday. Interim coach Kevin O'Neill is trying to employ a hard-edge, defense-first mentality into UA. But a cat usually doesn't change its stripes. And if Arizona can't defend, they can't cover.
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
I know the gambling world has football on the brain but the NBA and College Basketball season has started and here at VSI we have been extremely hot in the HARDWOOD. In the NBA as of Monday we are 11-3 +30 Units and we have cashed nine out of our last 10 days in the NBA. In college hoops we have started out cashing tickets left and right. Last eight plays we are 6-2 +13 Units again as of Monday. In my view I'm so happy that the ball dropped in the NBA and College hoops because this football season has been almost as bad as the Nebraska Cornhuskers football season. At least in college football we have been able to stay in the plus side for the month of November. NFL is another story and I'm hoping this story takes a turn on the good side.
Here are three games that I have my eye on this week:
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks (Thursday 11/15) NBA
The battle in Texas starts Thursday on TNT. So far the Mavericks have beaten Houston at home and Golden State on the road. The defending champs will be coming from L.A. as the Spurs play the Lakers on Tuesday but should be able to win that game with ease. I'm looking for the Mavericks to be a small favorite but would NOT be surprised to see San Antonio as a small road favorite. Either way this game should be a great one and I could see these two teams battle in the Western Conference all year long.
Oregon at Arizona (Thursday 11/15) NCAAF
HUGE game for the Ducks. For some odd reason the Pac-10 is playing on Thursday night. The Ducks need to win their next two games and put some style points on the board so the voters don't forget about them when their season is over. Oregon could have some trouble in Tucson Thursday night so this game could be a trap. Oregon has two tough games on the road, this game on Thursday and next week against UCLA. Oregon is a 12-point road favorite in this game. If the number goes up I might take a shot with Arizona.
NY Giants at Detroit (Sunday 11/18) NFL
Both teams are coming off losses but I do see New York winning this game. The Giants defense should cause plenty of problems for this young Detroit offense. Would love to see Detroit win this game just because the Lions would be very confident coming into their big battle on Thanksgiving Day against the Green Bay Packers. NY is a one-point road favorite and I do see this line going up.
STRIKE POINTS SPORTS
Anyone that was surprised by Ohio State's home loss to Illinois must not have been following college football this season. With the Buckeyes out of the BCS Championship, all focus centers on the Big 12. Yes, LSU and Oregon have control at the No. 1 and 2 spots respectively, however Kansas, Oklahoma and Missouri hold the 3-5 spots. The Jayhawks and Tigers clash in a huge game in Kansas City, then with the winner likely to play OU in the Big 12 title game. So still a lot to be determined.
Also make sure to check our page for updates on our NFL Game of the Year. We are releasing this 8-unit pick a week after we cashed our second straight GOW. This past Sunday we banked on Dallas, and now our single strongest play of the year will lead the charge in week 11.
Here are several football match-ups we'll be eying this weekend:
Ohio State at Michigan
How do both teams get up after looking extremely shaky in their respective losses the previous week? Well, maybe because both teams hate each other, not to mention the BCS conference berth is still up for grabs with a Rose Bowl spot to boot. You have to like Michigan's chances at home if Henne and Hart are fully healthy. But are they?
Missouri at Kansas State
Mizzou, don't get caught looking ahead. The Tigers looked pretty sketchy in the first half against Texas A&M, and that was with their Kansas game two weeks out. Now they can see that match-up next Saturday, however they will be up against a pissed off Wildcats team that got routed by Nebraska and allowed over 70. Remember, Nebraska allowed over 70 to Kansas and came back with 70 of their own. Can Josh Freeman and Jordy Nelson do the same and play spoiler at home?