Back to the Futures: Here's Johnny!
by Ricky Dimon - 12/4/2012


Heisman Trophy odds fluctuated wildly throughout college football’s regular season, with Geno Smith achieving borderline lock status after just a few games before Collin Klein assumed a similar mantle midway through the 2012 campaign. Now it’s Johnny Manziel out in front, as he has been since turning the Tide last month. Saturday’s proceedings in New York are expected to be a coronation of the freshman phenom, but stranger things have happened….
A look at  distant and not-so-distant future odds at which bettors should be sneaking a  peek (all odds provided by Sportsbook.ag).
  
    
    Heisman Trophy
Johnny Manziel (-500) – As the regular season wrapped with no other Heisman contender going wild, both Johnny Football (-450 to -500) and Manti Te'o (+250 to +200) saw their odds improve while sitting on their couch (or in the case of Te'o, at a Notre Dame basketball game). Manziel is a big favorite to take the hardware back to College Station, and if he does, it will be mainly thanks to his incredible performance that pinned a lone loss on SEC champ Alabama.
Manti Te’o (+200) – Charles Woodson (in 1997) is still the only primarily defensive player to win the Heisman Trophy. Unfortunately for Te'o, he did not have the benefit (a necessary one, most likely) of padding his stats with special teams returns. The anchor of Notre Dame's defense was outstanding, and the Golden Domers' undefeated campaign will give him a remote chance. However, it's a safe bet that it won't be quite enough.
Collin Klein (+700) – Opitmus Klein needed to go off  against Texas in order to have any chance of seriously getting back into the  Heisman discussion. Instead, he had a modest — albeit winning — performance by  his standards. Klein rushed for 103 yards and added 184 through the air while  accounting for three total touchdowns in K-State's 42-24 win. Too little too  late.
   
  NFC Championship
  
    Atlanta Falcons (+225) – Atlanta is finally starting to get some respect  among bettors and oddsmakers when it comes to their postseason chances. Of  course, a lot of that has to do with the competition. The 49ers and Bears are  basically handing the Falcons home-field advantage on a silver platter.
  
  San Francisco 49ers (+225) – The St.  Louis Rams are by no means terrible. However, when you go to overtime with them  twice in the same season, it sure isn't good. When you come away with zero wins  in those two overtimes, it's even worse. Once thinking about home-field  advantage, San Fran suddenly has to worry about simply winning the NFC West.
Green Bay Packers (+400) – The Packers have been chipping away and chipping away at Chicago's NFC North lead. Now they've matched the Bears at 8-4 and would be the champs if it ended now due to the head-to-head tiebreaker. One week removed from getting manhandled by the Giants, Green Bay is not exactly on fire.... But Chicago is cooperating.
NCAA Championship
  
    
    Indiana (+350) – The  two most impressive teams—by far—at the beginning of the season have been  Indiana and Duke. They are the only teams receiving votes in either the AP or  Coaches polls. The Hoosiers were not dominant against Georgia or Georgetown,  but they looked downright scary last week at their own fieldhouse in  Bloomington. After being tied 31-31 with four minutes left in the half, North  Carolina trailed 80-49 with four minutes left in the game. You can do the math.
  
  Duke (+800) – Most years, Duke's nonconference  schedule includes a steady diet of cupcakes and few — if any — ventures outside  Cameron Indoor Stadium. Less than two months into this season, however, the  Blue Devils may boast the best resume in the business. They are 8-0 with wins  over Kentucky (then No. 3), Louisville (then No. 2), and Ohio State (then No. 4).
  
  Louisville (+800) – Louisville is  separated from the trio above in the standings by Syracuse in the AP poll and  by both Syracuse and Florida in the Coaches. That's because of their loss to  Duke, but it's a loss that isn't frowned upon by oddsmakers nor will it be met  with scorn by the NCAA Tournament committee on Selection Sunday. The Cardinals  are an experienced bunch, and last season's trip to the Final Four will only  help.
  
  Michigan (+800) – Michigan is third  in both polls behind Indiana and Duke, and why not? The Wolverines are 7-0 with  wins over Pittsburgh, Kansas State, and N.C. State, and only one of their games  (vs. Pitt) has been particularly competitive. A trio consisting of Trey Burke  along with Tim Hardaway Jr., and Glenn Robinson III (both of NBA lineage) is  tough to stop.
  
  
  NBA Championship
  
  Miami Heat (+160) – The defending  champions were favorites going in, and their NBA-best 12-3 record has done  nothing to change anything. Miami’s three losses have come at the Knicks, at  the Grizzlies, and at the Clippers. A rematch with New York on Thursday is  must-see television, if there is such a thing in the NBA regular season.
  
  Oklahoma City Thunder (+400) – OKC’s  14-4 record trails only Miami and Memphis in the entire league. It has won five  in a row and Kevin Durant scored 37 points in two of those five contests. Get  your popcorn ready for a Tuesday showdown at 11-5 Brooklyn. The Thunder are -3.5 favorites.
Los Angeles Lakers (+400) – Based on the odds, the consensus is  that L.A. will somehow get it together in time for the playoffs. Right now,  though, the Lakers are showing no signs of keeping pace with Miami and Oklahoma  City. What is worse: their 8-9 record or Dwight Howard’s 100 missed free throws  through 17 games?
  
  
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