Top Props of the Week: Mayweather vs. Alvarez Bout in Las Vegas
by Dave Schwab - 9/11/2013
This Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, professional boxing will stage one of its biggest fights in recent memory when Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Saul Canelo Alvarez clash in a 12-round bout for the Super World Light Middleweight title. If you are looking to wager on more than just which fighter actually wins, the following is a look at a few of the prop bets that Bovada has released for Saturday night’s epic bout.
1-6 Rounds: 11/1
7-12 Rounds: 11/1
Wins by Decision: 10/19
As you can clearly see from these numbers, the oddsmakers see this fight going the distance if Mayweather wins. His overall record is a perfect 44-0 over the course of his professional career, with 26 knockouts and 18 decisions. Most of those knockouts came earlier in his career against inferior opponents as he has become much more a strategist in recent years as opposed to a pure puncher. Mayweather is far too smart to try and get into a street fight with Alvarez as he would much rather jab and move then stand there and trade punches.
1-6 Rounds: 8/1
7-12 Round: 7/1
Wins by Decision: 5/1
The odds still favor a decision if Alvarez wins this fight, but the numbers are not nearly skewed as much as Mayweather’s. Alvarez’s overall record is 42-0-1 with 30 knockouts and 12 decisions. He is definitely more of a pure puncher than Mayweather and realizes that his best chance to win this fight is to try and hit his opponent early and hard to at least draw some blood if he can’t knock him down. As the bigger fighter, Alvarez will have to use his size to his advantage to try and score an early-round knockout or possible TKO. If this fight goes more than six rounds, the chances it ends as a decision go up dramatically. Therefore, the best play if you are an Alvarez fan is the 8/1 odds on him winning in 1-6 rounds.
Fight Ends in a Draw
Odds fight ends in a draw 28/1
Do not even waste your time or your money on this prop as there is no way that these judges will not award this fight to one boxer or the other. Forget how close this fight might actually be in the ring; the sheer amount of money that will be wagered on this event could rival some of the biggest sporting events in the world. One of these two fighters is walking away with this title on Saturday night. Otherwise, you are likely to see a full blown riot break out in this town.
Fight Goes the Distance
Mayweather is a prohibitive -280 favorite on Bovada’s most recent money line, with Alvarez listed as a +220 underdog. More and more money will continue to come in on Alvarez from a heavy Mexican contingent as we get closer and closer to Saturday night, but the overall numbers should not change that much. Given that the odds heavily favor a decision if Mayweather does go on and win this fight, it stands to reason in all actuality it is going the full 12 rounds.
Crazier things have happened in this sport over the years, so if you have any inkling that Alvarez has what it takes to pull off a huge upset and decide to bet on him to win, then you probably want to also bet that he will do it in less than 12 rounds. If fact, the money line that this fight lasts less than 9.5 rounds no matter who wins the fight is +275 for yes and -450 for no. The line for it lasting less than 5.5 rounds is +550 on yes and -1200 on no.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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