This Week in NFL Betting by the Numbers: Baltimore Ravens
by Ricky Dimon - 1/31/2013


Well, this is  it.
  
  After 249 games (228 in the regular season plus his 21st playoff  game on Sunday), Ray Lewis is calling it quits. Win or lose, Lewis’ grand  finale will come on the biggest stage in football - the Super Bowl, this one to  be played in the Louisiana Superdome.
  
  In 17 regular seasons, Lewis had 1,558 tackles, 41.5 sacks, and 31  interceptions. He was named to 13 Pro Bowls and he already has one Super Bowl  ring (he was also named MVP of Baltimore’s 2001 triumph over the New York  Giants). Records include the most games started at inside/middle linebacker  (227) and most interception return yards for an inside/middle linebacker (503). 
  
  What are some other key Baltimore-related numbers heading into Super Bowl  XLVII? (all odds provided by Sportsbook.ag).
  
    7-0 - The Ravens’ all-time playoff record when Joe Flacco does not throw an  interception. By contrast, they are 1-4 when he does get picked off. So far  this postseason, Flacco has eight touchdowns with a goose-egg in the  interception column. He completed 21-of-36 passes for 240 yards and three  scores in the AFC Championship upset at New England. Ironically, a pair of  former San Francisco quarterbacks leads the way ahead of Flacco in the category  of most touchdowns in a single postseason without throwing an interception. Joe  Montana has the record (11 in 1989) followed by Steve Young (nine in 1994).  Then comes Flacco. The “over/under” for Flacco touchdown passes on Sunday is  1.5. He is -130 to go over the total and even to go under. 
  
  
  85.3 - Snaps per game played by the  Baltimore defense this postseason, 17.4 more than its regular-season average.  That accounts, in part, for why the Ravens are giving up what would otherwise  appear to be an alarming 415 yards per contest in the playoffs. In actuality,  they are allowing fewer yards per play (4.9) over their last three than they  did during their 16-game slate (5.2). Will Baltimore be able to stop San  Francisco’s high-powered running attack on Sunday? The over/under for 49ers’  rushing yards is 154.5.
  
  4 - Consecutive playoff games in  which the Ravens have covered the spread, dating back to last season’s AFC  Championship. They have been obliterating spreads this postseason; John  Harbaugh’s club covered by 7.5 points against Cincinnati, by 12.5 points in the  thriller at Denver, and by 23 points in the upset of New England. Overall,  Baltimore is 4-1 against the spread in its last four games this season. It’s  safe to say the team has turned it around following a three-game losing streak  from Week 13 through Week 15 in which it also went 0-3 ATS. The Ravens are +3.5  underdogs against the 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII.
  
  11 - Games out of the last 14 in  which Ray Rice has failed to exceed 100 yards on the ground. In fact,  Baltimore’s star running back has eclipsed the century mark only five times in  total this season (including in the playoff win over the Broncos). Rice amassed  68 yards on 15 carries in the Wild-Card Round, and he rushed 19 times for just  48 yards in the AFC Championship. San Francisco, meanwhile, finished fourth in  the NFL in rushing defense and allowed the third fewest yards per rush at 3.7. The  over/under for Rice rushing yards on Sunday is 66.5.
  
  22.5 - Average number of yards  beyond the line of scrimmage at which Torrey Smith has been targeted by Flacco  in the playoffs. That’s even farther down the field than his regular-season  target average 18.1, which was the deepest average of any receiver in the  league who was targeted at least 20 times. Smith had 855 yards and eight  touchdowns during the regular season, including 127-yard, two-score performance  in a win over the Patriots less than 24 hours after his 19-year-old brother was  killed in a motorcycle accident. So far this postseason, Smith has 198  receiving yards and two touchdowns. Amidst all the talk of retirements, deer  antler spray, Ed Reed wanting to play for Bill Belichick, etc., Smith’s stellar  campaign should not be overlooked. The over/under for Smith receiving yards in  the Super Bowl is 67.5.
  
  RAPID FIRE
  
  0 - Games this season other than the  divisional-round win over Denver in which Terrell Suggs has had either  double-digit tackles or multiple sacks (he accomplished both against the  Broncos). Which Suggs will show up on Sunday?
  1 - Baltimore victories, out of one game, in the John  Harbaugh vs. Jim Harbaugh series. The Ravens prevailed 16-6 at home last  season.
  
    1.5 - The over/under for field goals made by Ravens’ kicker Justin Tucker.
  
  11.5 - The over/under for Lewis  tackles in Super Bowl XLVII. The over is -145 and the under is +115.
  
  5 - Seasons as a Baltimore  cheerleader for Courtney Lenz, who is not on the Super Bowl cheer roster. Every  other Raven cheerleader with at least three years of experience is making the  trip. Scandal!
  
    0.5 - The known maximum of inches per day at which deer antlers can grow.
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