Alexander Hernandez vs Francisco Trinaldo UFC Point Spread Picks - 7/20/2019
Alexander Hernandez vs Francisco Trinaldo
UFC on ESPN 4
Saturday, July 20, 2019
Alexander "The Great" Hernandez (10-2-0) will battle Francisco "Massaranduba" Trinaldo (23-6-0) at UFC on ESPN 4 in AT&T Center on Saturday, July 20, 2019. The opening odds have Hernandez priced at -175 while Trinaldo is at +135.
Alexander "The Great" Hernandez comes into this fight with 10 wins and 2 losses. The San Antonio, TX product is 26 years old, weighs 155 lbs and is 5'9" inches tall. He has a 72.0" reach and fights in the lightweight division. Hernandez has a total of 3 fights in the Ultimate Fighting Championship. In his most recent fight, Hernandez was defeated in round 2 against Donald Cerrone by KO/TKO. In the lightweight division, he is 81st in strikes with 95 and is 408th out of all fighters in the Ultimate Fighting Championship.
When it comes to strike accuracy, Alexander Hernandez ranks 76th among UFC fighters and 12th in the lightweight division landing 62.9% of the strikes he attempts. He also has a total of 4 takedowns which has him sitting at 276th among UFC fighters and 60th in the lightweight division. Hernandez finishes 40.0% of his takedown tries which has him sitting at 231st among UFC fighters and 44th among fighters in the division. He ranks 83rd among fighters in the division and 422nd among UFC fighters for significant strikes with 47. Of those significant strikes, 29 of them were aimed at the head while 18 of them were directed at the body which has him sitting at 84th and 74th respectively among fighters in the division.
At UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2, he won via unanimous decision in round 3 when he fought Olivier Aubin-Mercier. 2 fights ago, Hernandez won in the first round when he fought Beneil Dariush at UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya by KO/TKO.
Stepping into the Octagon for this matchup, Francisco "Massaranduba" Trinaldo has a total of 23 wins and 6 losses. The 40-year-old fighting out of Brasilia, BRA is 5'9" inches tall and weighs 155 lbs. The Constrictor Team fighter competes in the lightweight division and has a 70.0" reach. He has compiled 18 fights in the Ultimate Fighting Championship. Francisco Trinaldo won by unanimous decision when he fought Evan Dunham in his most recent fight at UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders. Regarding strikes, Trinaldo is 64th out of all fighters in the Ultimate Fighting Championship and 17th among fighters in the division with 904.
Regarding strike accuracy, he is landing 51.8% of the shots he throws which ranks him 47th in the lightweight division and 261st among UFC fighters. In addition, Trinaldo ranks 25th in the lightweight division and 103rd among UFC fighters with a total of 16 takedowns. Ranking 26th among fighters in the division and 171st among UFC fighters, Trinaldo completes 45.7% of his takedown attempts. With 673 significant strikes, he ranks 53rd among UFC fighters and 14th among fighters in the division. Trinaldo ranks 9th among fighters in the division for significant strikes directed at the midsection with 185 and 15th for significant strikes aimed at the head with 410. At UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros, he lost via unanimous decision in round 3 when he fought James Vick. A few fights ago, Trinaldo won in round 3 when he fought Jim Miller at UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida by unanimous decision.
In this matchup between Alexander Hernandez and Francisco Trinaldo, it is important to understand how these two fighters compare. Alexander Hernandez has the better strike accuracy, having connected on 62.9% of his punches so Francisco Trinaldo will want to be careful going toe-to-toe. When talking about physical traits, the first fighter to take a look at is Alexander Hernandez who is 5'9" while the fighter standing across the Octagon stands 5'9". When talking about reach, Hernandez stretches 72.0" while Trinaldo has a reach of 70.0" meaning Hernandez will want to prevent his opponent from closing the distance Francisco Trinaldo cannot take advantage of the reach. Hernandez is the younger combatant in this fight at 26 years old while Trinaldo is the elder fighter checking in at 40 years old. With respect to Octagon experience, Hernandez has 3 fights which means he is the less experienced fighter in this matchup while Trinaldo has fought 18 fights in the Octagon. When it comes to overall experience in MMA, Hernandez has 10 victories and 2 defeats while Francisco Trinaldo is the owner of an overall mixed martial arts record of 23 victories and 6 defeats.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Francisco Trinaldo (+135)
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