Clay Guida vs Bobby Green Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 11 Odds
Clay Guida vs Bobby Green
UFC on ESPN 11
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, June 20, 2020
Clay Guida will face off against Bobby Green at UFC on ESPN 11 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV on Saturday, June 20, 2020. The opening line has Guida priced at +195 while Green is coming in at -235.
Clay "The Carpenter" Guida steps into the Octagon with a mark of 35-16-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Bobby "King" Green measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 24-10-1. The 33-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Clay Guida is landing 2.45 per min while Bobby Green is connecting on 4.95 significant strikes per min. Guida connects on 33% of the significant strikes he attempts and Green lands 49%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Carpenter" absorbs 2.40 significant strikes per min and "King" allows 3.70. Guida also defends against 65% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Green is able to stop 63% of the shots thrown his way.
In terms of wrestling, Clay Guida is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.39 times per 3 rounds. Guida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 38% of the times he tries and is stuffing 69% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Green is scoring a takedown on 29% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 74% of the attempts against him. In terms of sub attempts, Guida is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Green looks to get 0.3 subs per 15 min.
In his last bout, Clay Guida squared up with Jim Miller and took a loss on the night by a guillotine choke in round 1. Miller landed 2 of 8 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Guida finished this fight landing 2 of 5 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Miller landed 2 of 8, which means his percentage was 25%. He ended up landing 1 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Guida landed 40% of his significant strikes by landing 2 of 5. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 4 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Miller and 100% of them connected on by Guida were done at a distance.
Related: Get MMA predictions
In the last Octagon appearance for Bobby Green, he fought Francisco Trinaldo and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Trinaldo ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Green ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Green ended up connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 50 of 115. He ended up landing 27 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. Trinaldo connected on 31 of 122 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 20 of 100 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Trinaldo ended up connecting on 36 of 127 and Green connected on 67 of 135 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Marc-Andre Barriault takes on Oskar Piechota. Barriault steps into the cage with a record of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Piechota measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 11-3-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 76". When it comes to grappling, Marc-Andre Barriault gets a takedown 0.33 times per 15 min while Oskar Piechota is averaging a takedown 0.76 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Barriault connects for an average of 3.53 strikes/min and is connecting on 43% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Oskar Piechota, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.19 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Frank Camacho is set to square up in the Octagon with Matt Frevola. Frevola walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-1. The 30-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Camacho comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 22-8-0. The 31-year-old reaches 73". Concerning wrestling, Matt Frevola is able to defend against 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries. Camacho is finishing his takedown tries on 45% of his attempts and deflects 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Frevola takes 3.47 strikes per minute while he is landing 3.19 strikes/min. Camacho, in contrast, is taking 7.14 strikes per minute and dishes out 6.68 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Clay Guida (+195)
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