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2025-26 Vegas Golden Knights Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 10/1/2025

Vegas Golden Knights predictions Jack Eichel

Last season the Vegas Golden Knights finished with 110 points which was the second-best total in the Western Conference last season. They had a +56-goal differential while their 29-9-3 home record was one of the best home records in the league. They came back from a 2-1 series deficit against Minnesota in the first round, stealing the series in six games. Unfortunately, their season ended in the second round as they were dominated by Edmonton and lost in five games.

The Golden Knights ranked fifth in the league in scoring as they averaged 3.34 GF/G. They had the second-best power play unit in the league as they cashed in on 28.3% of their man advantage chances. Their penalty kill was one of the worst in the NHL last season as they finished with a 75.7% PK%. Jack Eichel led the team with 94 points as he scored 28 goals and 66 assists. Mark Stone finished second on the team with 67 points in 66 games while Pavel Dorofeyev led the team with 35 goals and he finished with 52 points. Tomas Hertl emerged on the scene as well last season as he returned to form with a 32-goal season while finishing third on the team with 61 points in 73 games.

Their goaltending was elite as well as they ranked third with a 2.61 GA/G. Adin Hill appeared in 50 games last season where he posted a 32-12-5 record while allowing just 2.47 GA/G and he had a .906 SV%. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.82 GA/G in 29 appearances while Akira Schmid appeared in five games where he allowed 1.26 GA/G and had a .944 SV%.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Vegas Golden Knights in 2025-26:

Vegas Golden Knights Key Additions/Losses

Vegas traded away Nicolas Roy in a deal with Toronto. Roy tallied 31 points for Vegas last season. Nicolas Hague (12 points) was dealt to Nashville while Victor Olofsson (29 points) and Tanner Pearson (27 points) left via free agency. Samsonov also is not returning to Vegas.

In the return for Roy, Vegas acquired Mitch Marner who had a triple digit point season last year for the Maple Leafs and then they signed him to an eight-year deal. In addition to Marner, Vegas brought in Jeremy Lauzon and Colton Sissons from Nashville to round out the additions for Vegas this summer.

Vegas Golden Knights X-Factors

The Marner Experiment- There is no doubt that adding a 100+ point producer adds some excitement and intrigue. Marner is now losing the support of Matthews, Nylander, and Tavares, but he is now joining forces with Eichel, Stone, and Hertl. Vegas will benefit greatly from the addition of another 25-goal skater who has averaged nearly 58 assists per year in his career. He will join Eichel and Ivan Barbashev on the top line. This was the biggest move of the offseason and one that could make Vegas the top team in the Western Conference and maybe even the entire league.

Vegas Golden Knights Goalie Outlook

With Samsonov out of the picture, the Golden Knights will be running with Hill and Schmid. Hill has had some incredible moments since joining up with Vegas and has been one of the most consistent netminders in the league. It will be interesting to see how much of a workload he takes on with Schmid as the backup, which is perhaps less favorable than Samsonov or Logan Thompson. Schmid has only 36 starts in his young NHL career, but he was dominant in his time with Vegas last season, and he has a good mentor in Hill. Hill may see an increase in his workload, and any regression in his numbers could hold back this Vegas team. We must wait and see how often Vegas uses Schmid and how reliable he can be.

Grade: B-

Vegas Golden Knights Key Schedule Stretch

The Trade Deadline- No doubt the most important two weeks in the Vegas regular season will be the trade deadline. They already made a home run move to acquire Marner, but they may be enticed to add more to their roster. Injuries have been a big concern in the past for this team and adding another reliable weapon may mitigate some of those concerns come playoff time. Vegas may not have a ton of resources at their exposal, but this is a front office who has creatively found ways to add top tier talent during the season. Expect another big move by Vegas.

Vegas Golden Knights Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions: +950

Conference Winner: +500

Division Winner: +155

Vezina Trophy- Adin Hill: +4000

Hart Trophy- Jack Eichel: +2800

Hart Trophy- Mitch Marner: +4000

Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

I like Vegas’ chances this season. Adding one of the league’s best players to pair with Eichel could be lethal for the opposition. The goaltending may be a little shaky, but the front office has done more than enough to show they are invested in this group and winning is going to happen now. The Marner deal gives the Golden Knights enough firepower to compete with Dallas and Colorado in the Western Conference and any additions could really put them in contention for the Presidents Trophy this season. Take the over on the point total and expect Vegas to repeat as Pacific Division winners and be a real threat to return to the Stanley Cup Finals.

Over 106.5 Team Total Points

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