2025 PGA Picks: FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

Some of you may be counting down the weeks until the respective college and pro football seasons kick off, and I get it. I'm right with you. There are plenty of good times ahead and arguments with the spouses to be had when their idea of Sunday Fun-Day doesn't exactly line up with yours.

Not so fast, though. We only have two tournaments left to play before the Tour Championship that tees off on August 21st. These aren't just any two tournaments, either. This is the playoffs.

Playoffs?! Forgive me. That joke never gets old. It’s in honor of the incoming football season, but I digress.

This week, the PGA Tour heads down to TPC Southwind, the blues, and in my opinion, the barbecue capital of the world, as well, Memphis, Tennessee, for the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

The top 70 golfers in the FedEx Cup Standings will be in the field this week. After the final round of what is forecasted to be a muggy, calm, hot, and sunny tournament, we will be down to just 50 of the world's best golfers remaining in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

Is that the top 50 placers from this tournament? No. It will be the top 50 in the standings after the tournament. One of the PGA Tour's biggest stars, Rory McIlroy, said hey, TPC Southwind doesn't really suit my game, and I'm guaranteed a spot in the next two tournaments anyway, so I'm not going. He has long loved to stick it to the FedEx officials.

That leaves an even bigger gap in the betting odds from the favorite, Scottie Scheffler, and the rest of the field to the tune of nearly 17 points.

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FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Betting Odds

Scottie Scheffler: +350

Xander Schauffele: +2000

Matt Fitzpatrick: +2500 

Tommy Fleetwood: +2600

Russell Henley: +2600

Viktor Hovland: +2800

Hideki Matsuyama: +3200

Ludvig Aberg: +3200

Collin Morikawa: +3600

Justin Thomas: +3800

Aaron Rai: +3800

Harris English: +4800

TPC Southwind - Course Characteristics

TPC Southwind is a familiar golf course for the PGA Tour, as we've played a tournament here every year since the late 80s. The par 70 has a wealth of water hazards to deal with, small Bermudagrass green complexes as well as 3" Bermudagrass rough.

The fairways are on the narrow side, averaging just 25 yards wide. Course difficulty ranked 24th out of 51 last year, and it has been lengthened in the offseason. Even with the calm conditions, the heat may work on some wills, and we could see them start to drop like flies.

FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Betting Picks

Xander Schauffele: +2000

Sure, 2025 has been a down year for one of golf's biggest stars, but it wasn't without good reason. The 31-year-old strained his intercostal early in the year and didn't really turn his game around until the Masters, where he finished 8th.

Since then, he's been an excellent bet for top 10s and 20s in the bigger tournaments, but has yet to contend on Sunday. He currently sits outside of the top 30 in the FedEx Cup Standings, so you know he'll be playing to win.

Schauffele stormed back with a final round 63 to nearly catch Hideki Matsuyama, who only shot a Sunday 70 to hang on for the 2024 St. Jude win.

At these betting odds, I don’t know how you don’t take a shot with the San Diego native to win at 20-1.

Tommy Fleetwood: +2600

Currently sitting just inside the top ten in the FedEx Cup standings at 9th, the UK's Tommy Fleetwood shows up when it counts, and this will be a big tourney for him if he doesn't want a ton of pressure going into the BMW Championship next week.

I scoured the past performances here from most of the field, and the results are quite inconsistent outside of Fleetwood and a few others.

He's finished 3rd and 4th here already and is in decent current form with two top 5s and two top 20s over his past six tournaments.

Lucas Glover: +9000

After another internet scouring and AI asking spree, I couldn’t find anything on a Lucas Glover injury. Currently 27th in the FedEx Cup standings, the 45-year-old Clemson alum may have one more good one left in him.

He missed the cut last week, but before that, he had consecutive finishes of 9th, 5th, and 23rd. His course history here is even better with finishes of 3rd and 1st in his last two starts!

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