Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 4/10/2014
Friday, April 11, 7:05 PM on NESN, YES
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
Boston - Lester, J (0-2) vs. New York - Sabathia, C (1-1)
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
The Red Sox hope left-hander Jon Lester (0-2) gets right against the rival Yankees and CC Sabathia (1-1). To be fair, Lester hasn't actually pitched as bad as his record, but the Sox have put up a combined 1 run in his first 2 starts of the year. Lester went 7+ in both starts and allowed only 2 ER in each while striking out 14 in 14.1 IP.
As expected, Lester has quite a history with the Yankees. Ichiro (.313), Derek Jeter (.333), and Brian Roberts (.217) have all faced Lester over 40 times but new additions Brian McCann and Carlos Beltran have just 5 combined career AB's. Lester made four starts against New York in 2013 compiling a 2-1 record with a 3.29 ERA. Over the course of his career Lester has made 26 starts against the Yankees with a record 11-5 and a 3.96 ERA.
Sabathia earned a victory his last time out after getting rocked against Houston in the season debut. The Astros put up 6 runs in 6 innings against Sabathia in a 2-6 Yankees loss on April 1st. Five days later Sabathia gave up 4 runs on 7 hits in 6 innings but it was enough for a 6-4 New York win over Toronto. So far Sabathia has allowed 10 runs in 12 innings for a 7.50 ERA.
Only 3 of the 16 members listed on Boston's roster have hit over .300 against Sabathia in their careers led by Shane Victorino (.409, 9-22), David Ross (.333, 6-18), and Dustin Pedroia (.302, 16 -53). The combined average for the Sox is .256 in 301 plate appearances against Sabathia. Boston showed good plate discipline against Sabathia last year as they scored 23 runs in 28.2 IP and walked 15 times.
Boston Betting Trends
Boston is 1-6-0 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Boston is -0.1
New York Betting Trends
New York is 2-5-0 against the Over/Under
Run differential for New York is 0.0
Injuries to Watch
04/07/14 1B Mike Carp Back questionable
04/06/14 3B Will Middlebrooks Calf 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/14 RF Shane Victorino Hamstring 15-day DL (3/30)
03/29/14 P Craig Breslow Shoulder 15-day DL (3/21)
03/29/14 P Steven Wright Hernia 15-day DL (3/21)
04/08/14 P David Robertson Groin out indefinitely
04/05/14 1B Mark Teixeira Hamstring 15-day DL (4/5)
04/01/14 SS Brendan Ryan Back 15-day DL (3/22)
Tony's Pick: Take New York
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