Cincinnati Reds at Baltimore Orioles 9/4/2014 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Josh Schonwald - 9/3/2014
Thursday, September 4, 2014
Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore
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Thursday night, the Cincinnati Reds will take the field behind Mike Leake (10 - 11, 3.38 ERA) as they square off against the Baltimore Orioles and Chris Tillman (11 - 5, 3.36 ERA). Leake makes his 29th start as Tillman makes his 30th.
Mike Leake had a great start his last time out but he still didn't get the decision. Leake threw 7 innings of shutout ball and surrendered just 6 hits. He struck out a batter and didn't issue any walks. It was Leake's second straight shutout performance but his 3 - 4 record in his last 10 starts is less than impressive. Last season, Leake went 14 - 7 with a 3.37 ERA in 31 starts.
In 2013, Leake didn't face the Orioles and he has only seen 5 of their hitters before. Kelly Johnson is 4 for 11 against Leake with a homer and an RBI.
Chris Tillman didn't get the decision in his last outing despite a solid start. In 5 innings of work, Tillman allowed just a run on 6 hits. He walked 3 while striking out 6. In his last 10 starts, Tillman has been brilliant, allowing more than 3 runs just once. He is 4 - 1 in that 10 game stretch. Last season, Tillman posted a 16 - 7 record with a 3.71 ERA in 33 starts.
Tillman didn't face the Reds in 2013 and has only faced 3 of the Cincinnati hitters before. Jack Hannahan is 2 for 3 against Tillman.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds are 62-71-5 against the Over/Under
Run Differential for Cincinnati Reds is 0.1
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore Orioles are 61-73-3 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Baltimore Orioles is 0.6
Injuries to Watch
08/18/14 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (8/8)
08/17/14 1B Joey Votto Quad 60-day DL (7/1)
08/07/14 P Logan Ondrusek Shoulder 15-day DL (7/13)
06/21/14 P Trevor Bell Elbow 60-day DL (4/08)
06/14/14 P Sean Marshall Shoulder 60-day DL (6/13)
08/31/14 1B Steve Pearce Abdominal out indefinitely
08/22/14 3B Manny Machado Knee 60-day DL (8/12); out for season
06/17/14 C Matt Wieters Elbow 60-day DL (5/11), out for season
06/03/14 P Johan Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (6/2), out for season
04/03/14 P Edgmer Escalo Shoulder 60-day DL (3/30)
03/31/14 LF Francisco Peguero Wrist 15-day DL (3/21)
Josh's Pick: Take Baltimore
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