Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 5/16/2014
Saturday, May 17, 7:05 PM on FSOH, CSPh
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Cincinnati Reds - Bailey, H (3-2) vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Hamels, C (0-2)
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Saturday evening, Homer Bailey gets the call for the Cincinnati Reds as they take on Cole Hamels and the Philadelphia Phillies. Bailey will be making his 9th start as Hamels makes his 5th.
Homer Bailey improved to 3 – 2 with a 4.72 ERA after getting the win in his last outing. In that start, Bailey allowed just a run on 4 hits (including a home run) in 7.1 innings with 2 walks and 6 strikeouts. It’s believed that a change in delivery improved Bailey’s results. Any change would be helpful if Bailey wants to post better results this year than he did in 2013 when he went 11 – 12 with a 3.49 ERA in 32 starts.
Last season, Bailey didn’t get a decision in his 2 starts against the Phillies. But he pitched 15 scoreless innings and allowed just 7 hits. If he wants to keep up the scoreless streak, he will need to stay away from Marlon Byrd. Byrd is batting .375 with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs against Bailey.
Cole Hamels looked solid in his last start even though he didn’t get the decision. Hamels allowed just a run on 7 hits in 7 innings as he walked 3 and struck out 10. But Hamels brings a 0 - 2 record and an ERA of 5.32 into this one. Last season, Hamels was 8 -14 with a 3.60 ERA in 33 starts.
In 2013, Hamels didn’t face the Reds but he knows the lineup well. Cincinnati hitters are just batting .212 against Hamels with 4 homers and 12 RBIs in 99 at-bats.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds are 15-20-2 against the Over/Under
Run Differential for Cincinnati Reds is 0.2
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies are 20-15-3 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Philadelphia Phillies is -0.9
Injuries to Watch
05/15/14 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder 15-day DL (5/1), expected to start Sunday vs. Philadelphia
05/05/14 RF Jay Bruce Knee 15-day DL (5/5)
04/27/14 C Devin Mesoraco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/26)
04/09/14 P Trevor Bell Elbow 15-day DL (4/08)
04/02/14 P Brett Marshall Finger 60-day DL (3/30)
03/28/14 3B Jack Hannahan Shoulder 60-day DL (3/30)
03/28/14 P Mat Latos Knee 60-day DL (3/21)
05/13/14 2B Freddy Galvis Collarbone out 6-8 weeks
03/28/14 LF Darin Ruf Oblique 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 P Ethan Martin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder 60-day DL (3/21)
Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia
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