St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 5/3/2014
Sunday, May 4, 8:05 PM on ESPN, F24
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
St Louis Cardinals - Lynn, L (4-1) vs. Chicago Cubs - Hammel, J (4-1)
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Sunday night, Lance Lynn will get the call for the St. Louis Cardinals as they take on Jason Hammel and the Chicago Cubs. Lynn will be making his 7th trip to the hill as Hammel makes his 6th.
Lance Lynn has slowed down from the torrid pace that he was setting early in the season. Lynn won his first 4 starts then lost his 5th and then pitched to a no decision in his last start. In that outing, Lynn went 5 innings and surrendered 3 runs (all earned) on 5 hits with 2 walks and 4 strikeouts. Lynn’s record stands at 4 – 1 with an ERA of 3.60. Last season, Lynn went 15 – 10 with an ERA of 3.97 in 33 starts.
In 2013, Lynn was 2 – 3 with a 3.60 ERA in 5 starts against the Chicago Cubs. In 30 innings of work, Lynn had 30 strikeouts to just 9 walks. Chicago’s Starlin Castro could pose a problem for Lynn. Castro is 10 of 27 with 3 doubles, a triple and 3 RBIs when facing the big right-hander.
Jason Hammel improved his record to 4 – 1 and his ERA to 2.08 after getting the win in his last outing. In the start, Hammel pitched 7 shutout innings and allowed just 3 hits and 2 walks while striking out 7. Last season with the Baltimore Orioles, Hammel was 7 – 8 with a save and an ERA of 4.97 in 23 starts and 3 relief appearances.
In 2013, Hammel didn’t get to face the Cardinals but he has seen 6 of the St. Louis hitters in the past. Hammel will need to pitch carefully to Jhonny Peralta. Peralta is batting .467 with 2 homers and 8 RBIs when facing Hammel.
St Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
St Louis Cardinals are 10-16-2 against the Over/Under
Run Differential for St Louis Cardinals is 0.3
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs are 12-12-1 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Chicago Cubs is -0.6
Injuries to Watch
St Louis Cardinals
04/17/14 P Joe Kelly Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
03/30/14 P Jaime Garcia Shoulder 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 P Jason Motte Elbow 15-day DL (3/21)
04/27/14 P Jose Veras Oblique 15-day DL (4/25)
04/24/14 CF Justin Ruggiano Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
03/31/14 P James McDonald Shoulder 60-day DL (2/23)
03/28/14 P Jake Arrieta Shoulder 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 P Kyuji Fujikawa Elbow 15-day DL (3/21)
Guy's Pick: Take St. Louis
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