Sunday, October 4, 2015
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello (9-14) vs. Danny Salazar (13-10)
The Cleveland Indians welcome the Boston Red Sox to Progressive Field on Sunday. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Danny Salazar for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +145 and Cleveland at -155. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 83-71 over/under record and a 79-81 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Indians are 77-82 against the run line and have a 79-78 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Red Sox come into this game with a 78-82 record, and they are 35-44 away from home. Rick Porcello has an earned run average of 5.02 and is 9-14 so far on the season while having a 1.35 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 13-14 over his 165 innings pitched this season while giving up 186 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 12-14. The team is averaging 4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 508 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 428 times and walking 188 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.57 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36.
Boston is batting .266 as a team, which is good for 5th in the league and hitting .242 away from home. The Red Sox hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.29 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 195.
With a 79-80 overall record, Cleveland will come into this game 37-41 at home. Danny Salazar is starting this game 13-10 for the season with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.14. In his starts, the Indians are 17-12 and he has allowed 152 hits over 179.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 13-16. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 413 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 435 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72.
They are batting .256 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .274 at home. The Indians hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.67 hits per game and Jason Kipnis leads the team with 170.
Boston has a team fielding percentage of .984 after having committed 96 errors with 1,609 assists and 4,297 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 79 errors, accumulating 1,511 assists and compiling 4,244 put outs.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 83-71 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 79-81 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 79-78 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 77-82 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
10/03/15 DH David Ortiz Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cleveland Indians
09/26/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Pneumonia out for season
09/24/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
09/16/15 P Joe Kelly Shoulder out for season
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
09/30/15 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder out for season
09/29/15 P Nick Hagadone Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/7), out for season
09/29/15 P T.J. House Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Josh Schonwald
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks