Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Picks & Odds 7-2-2015
by Josh Schonwald - 7/1/2015
Thursday, July 2, 2015
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley (7-7) vs. Matt Boyd (0-1)
The Boston Red Sox head to Rogers Centre on Thursday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox send Wade Miley to the mound to face Matt Boyd of the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +120 and Toronto at -130. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox, with a 34-46 run line record, cover the spread 43% of the time. They also have a 37-40 over/under record. The Blue Jays have a 37-37 over/under record and a 42-38 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 53% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 36-44 record, including 19-24 on the road. Wade Miley has an earned run average of 4.38 and is 7-7 so far on the season while having a 1.36 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 8-7 over his 84.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 87 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 6-9 in his starts. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 251 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.85. Opposing teams are hitting .256 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 88 times and striking out 210 times. Boston is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per game while getting 9.13 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 28th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.36.
Boston is batting .254 as a team, which is good for 16th in the league and hitting .234 away from home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .320, which puts them at 12th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .395. Dustin Pedroia leads the team in hits with 86 while the team ranks 14th in baseball with 8.68 hits per game.
With a 26-17 home record, Toronto will hope to improve on their 42-38 overall mark. Matt Boyd is starting this game 0-1 for the season with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.35. In his starts, the Blue Jays are 0-1 and he has allowed 9 hits over 6.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Blue Jays are 0-1 when he starts. The bullpen has given up 193 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.44. Opposing teams are hitting .218 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 75 times and striking out 242 times. Toronto is averaging 7.23 strikeouts per game while getting 8.51 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09.
They are batting .264 as a team, which is good for 6th in the league and hitting .275 at home. The Blue Jays on-base percentage sits at .330, which puts them at 3rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .442. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 92 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 8.89 hits a game.
In terms of team defense, the Red Sox have a fielding percentage of .985 with 45 total errors, 822 assists and 2,112 put outs. The Blue Jays have committed 42 errors on the season with 785 assists and 2,100 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .986 on the year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 37-40 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 34-46 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 37-37 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 42-38 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/25)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
07/01/15 2B Devon Travis Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/14/15 P Aaron Sanchez Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/6)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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