Friday, October 2, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta (21-6) vs. Ariel Pena (2-0)
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park on Friday. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Ariel Pena for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -208 and Milwaukee at +193. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs, with a 79-80 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 71-79 over/under record. The Brewers are 74-84 against the run line and have a 81-66 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Cubs come into this game with a 94-65 record, and they are 45-33 away from home. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta holds a 21-6 record with an earned run average of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.88. The Cubs are 24-8 over his 223 innings pitched and he's also given up 148 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-19. His teammates are averaging 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 447 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.42. The bullpen has struck out 502 and walked 180 batters this season while opposing teams hit .232 against them. Chicago has a team average of 7.92 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.43, they are 3rd in the league.
Chicago ranks 29th in the league in team batting average at .244 while hitting .252 on the road. The Cubs on-base percentage sits at .321, which puts them at 13th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .399. With 158 hits, Anthony Rizzo leads the team while his team ranks 28th in hits per game with 8.28.
With a 68-90 overall record, Milwaukee will come into this game 34-44 at home. With an earned run average of 3.91, Ariel Pena will come into this game holding a 2-0 record and a 1.35 WHIP. The Brewers have a record of 2-2 over the 23 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 19 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-2. His teammates score an average of 3.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 463 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.49. The Brewers bullpen has struck out 530 batters and walked 174 this season while opposing teams have hit .236 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.01 hits per game and are averaging 7.89 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.31, they are 24th in the league.
They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .254 at home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .310, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .398. With 150 hits, Gerardo Parra leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.62.
In terms of team defense, the Cubs have a fielding percentage of .982 with 107 total errors, 1,619 assists and 4,276 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Brewers have accumulated 112 errors while having 1,640 assists and 4,200 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 71-79 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 79-80 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-66 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-84 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
10/01/15 1B Adam Lind Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. San Diego Padres
09/29/15 RF Ryan Braun Back out for season
09/23/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique out for season
09/21/15 2B Elian Herrera Thigh likely out for season
09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/22)
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/13)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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