Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals Free MLB Picks & Odds 7-25-2015
by Guy Bruhn - 7/24/2015
Saturday, July 25, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Scott Fel (4-5) vs. Danny D (4-4)
The Houston Astros visit Kauffman Stadium on Saturday to play the Kansas City Royals. Scott Feldman is the probable starter for the Astros and he'll face Danny Duffy of the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +119 and Kansas City at -129. The over/under was set at 8. The Astros, with a 55-43 run line record, cover the spread 56% of the time. They also have a 45-48 over/under record. The Royals are 55-40 against the run line and have a 40-44 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
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The Astros come into this game with a 55-43 record, and they are 22-26 away from home. Scott Feldman has a 4-5 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.93 and a 1.42 WHIP. The Astros are 5-6 over his 65.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 77 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Astros are 9-11 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 201 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 2.68. Opposing teams are hitting .195 against the Astros bullpen while walking 83 times and striking out 274 times. Houston is averaging 7.7 strikeouts per game while getting 8.03 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 9th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.55.
Houston ranks 24th in the league in team batting average at .243 while hitting .243 on the road. The Astros on-base percentage sits at .310, which puts them at 20th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .425. Jose Altuve leads the team in hits with 105 while the team ranks 26th in baseball with 8.11 hits per game.
With a 57-38 overall record, Kansas City will come into this game 32-18 at home. Danny Duffy has a record of 4-4 while sporting an earned run average of 4.24 on the year with a 1.47 WHIP. The Royals have a record of 5-9 over the 70 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 75 hits. Against the over/under, the Royals are 6-7 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 234 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.16. Opposing teams are hitting .200 against the Royals bullpen while walking 107 times and striking out 296 times. Kansas City is averaging 6.95 strikeouts per game while getting 8.25 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.50.
They rank 2nd in the league in team batting average with a .275 average while hitting .282 at home. The Royals on-base percentage sits at .326, which puts them at 5th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .413. Eric Hosmer leads the team in hits with 106 while the team ranks 3rd in baseball with 9.39 hits a game.
In terms of team defense, the Astros have a fielding percentage of .987 with 49 total errors, 1053 assists and 2,622 put outs. The Royals have committed 56 errors on the season with 952 assists and 2,535 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 45-48 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 55-43 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 40-44 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 55-40 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/02/15 RF George Springer Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
05/19/15 P Samuel Deduno Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/14)
04/28/15 SS Jed Lowrie Thumb Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/28)
04/17/15 P Brad Peacock Side Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)
Kansas City Royals
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
07/09/15 LF Alex Gordon Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/9)
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals
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