Houston Astros at New York Yankees Free MLB Picks & Odds - 10-6-2015
by Tony Sink - 10/5/2015
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel (20-8) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (12-7)
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The New York Yankees host the Houston Astros at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday in the American League Wild Card game. The probable starters are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -110 and New York at +100. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Astros have a 73-80 over/under record and a 84-78 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Yankees have a 77-81 over/under record and a 80-82 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 49% of the time.
The Astros show up with a 86-76 record, including 33-48 on the road. Dallas Keuchel has a 20-8 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.48 and a 1.02 WHIP. In his starts, the Astros are 23-10 over his 232 innings pitched this season while giving up 185 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 16-17. He is getting 5.4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .216 against the Astros bullpen while walking 135 times and striking out 463 times. Houston is averaging 7.99 strikeouts per game while getting 8.17 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 6th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.57.
As a team, Houston is batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Astros hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 16th in baseball. Jose Altuve leads the team in hits with 200 while the team ranks 22nd in baseball with 8.41 hits per game.
New York is 45-36 at home while holding a 87-75 overall record on the season. Masahiro Tanaka has a record of 12-7 while sporting an earned run average of 3.51 on the year with a 0.99 WHIP. In his starts, the Yankees are 15-9 and he has allowed 126 hits over 154 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 11-13. He is getting 5.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .229 against the Yankees bullpen while walking 226 times and striking out 596 times. New York is averaging 8.46 strikeouts per game while getting 8.75 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Yankees hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 10th in baseball. Chase Headley leads the team in hits with 150 while the team ranks 13th in baseball with 8.62 hits a game.
Houston has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 85 errors with 1,617 assists and 4,323 put outs for the season. The Yankees have committed 92 errors on the season with 1,594 assists and 4,373 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 73-80 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 84-78 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 77-81 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 80-82 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
10/05/15 CF Carlos Gomez Side "?" Tuesday vs. New York Yankees
09/11/15 P Scott Feldman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14); out for season
05/19/15 P Samuel Deduno Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/14), out for season
04/17/15 P Brad Peacock Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14); out for season
New York Yankees
10/01/15 2B Stephen Drew Concussion out indefinitely
09/11/15 1B Mark Teixeira Shin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
09/08/15 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow out indefinitely
08/03/15 P Diego Moreno Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/2)
06/21/15 RF Mason Williams Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/20)
05/15/15 P Chase Whitley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/15)
Tony's Pick: Take the Astros
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