Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Picks & ALCS Odds - 10-20-2015
by Tony Sink - 10/19/2015
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Young (11-6) vs. R.A. Dickey (11-11)
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The Kansas City Royals take on the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday at Rogers Centre in Game 4 of the ALCS. The probable starters are Chris Young for the Royals and R.A. Dickey for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +105 and Toronto at -115. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Royals, with a 93-76 run line record, cover the spread 55% of the time. They also have a 77-78 over/under record. The Blue Jays have a 82-75 over/under record and a 93-76 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 55% of the time.
The Royals come into this game with a 100-69 record, and they are 45-38 away from home. Starting pitcher Chris Young holds a 11-6 record with an earned run average of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.09. The Royals are 12-6 over his 127.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 94 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Royals are 4-11 in his starts. He is getting 3.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 2.72 and they've given up 419 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen while being struck out 502 times and walking 191 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73.
As a team, Kansas City is batting .268, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. Ranked at 11th in the league in on-base percentage, the Royals sit at .321 and they hold a .413 team slugging percentage. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.19 hits per game and Eric Hosmer leads the team with 184.
With a 96-73 overall record, Toronto will come into this game 54-30 at home. With an earned run average of 3.86, R.A. Dickey will come into this game holding a 11-11 record and a 1.19 WHIP. The Blue Jays have a record of 19-15 over the 219 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 200 hits. Against the over/under, the Blue Jays are 15-15 when he starts. He is getting 4.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.50 and they have given up 412 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .229 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 459 times and walking 130 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.99 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. Ranked at 1st in the league in on-base percentage, the Blue Jays sit at .338 and they hold a .454 team slugging percentage. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.08 hits per game and Josh Donaldson leads the team with 190.
The Royals have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,611 assists and 4,356 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 88 errors, accumulating 1,592 assists and compiling 4,323 put outs.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 77-78 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 93-76 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 82-75 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 93-76 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
09/24/15 P Greg Holland Elbow out for season
09/19/15 2B Omar Infante Oblique out indefinitely
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)
Toronto Blue Jays
10/09/15 P Brett Cecil Calf out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Royals
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