Tuesday, September 22, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Thornburg (0-2) vs. Jake Arrieta (19-6)
The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. Tyler Thornburg is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face Jake Arrieta of the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +157 and Chicago at -167. The over/under was set at 7. The Brewers have a 78-62 over/under record and a 69-80 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Cubs have a 68-72 over/under record and a 73-76 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 49% of the time.
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The Brewers show up with a 63-86 record, including 29-42 on the road. Tyler Thornburg has an earned run average of 3.94 and is 0-2 so far on the season while having a 1.28 WHIP. The Brewers are 1-3 over his 32 innings pitched and he's also given up 31 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 2-2 in his starts. The team is averaging 4.8 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.54 and they've given up 430 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 494 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.88 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32.
Milwaukee is batting .255 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .257 away from home. Ranked at 21st in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .312 and they hold a .401 team slugging percentage. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.66 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 146.
Chicago is 45-29 at home while holding a 87-62 overall record on the season. Jake Arrieta is starting this game 19-6 for the season with an earned run average of 1.96 and a WHIP of 0.92. The Cubs have a record of 22-8 over the 207 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 144 hits. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 8-17 when he starts. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.50 and they have given up 427 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .234 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 471 times and walking 170 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 8.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.73 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.53.
They are batting .244 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .239 at home. Ranked at 13th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .321 and they hold a .401 team slugging percentage. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.3 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 152.
The Brewers have committed 108 errors and have combined for 1,537 assists and 3,969 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .982 team fielding percentage while committing 101 errors, accumulating 1,544 assists and compiling 4,027 put outs.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 78-62 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-80 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 68-72 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 73-76 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/21/15 2B Elian Herrera Leg out indefinitely
09/21/15 RF Ryan Braun Back is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head out indefinitely
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)
08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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