Saturday, September 26, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Tyler Duffey (4-1) vs. Alfredo Simon (13-10)
The Minnesota Twins head to Comerica Park on Saturday to take on the Detroit Tigers. Tyler Duffey is the probable starter for the Twins and he'll face Alfredo Simon of the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at -132 and Detroit at +122. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins, with a 89-63 run line record, cover the spread 59% of the time. They also have a 69-71 over/under record. The Tigers have a 82-63 over/under record and a 71-81 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 78-74 record, including 32-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyler Duffey holds a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.31. In his starts, the Twins are 6-2 over his 45.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 42 hits during those innings. The Twins are also 6-2 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 7.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 465 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.97. The bullpen has struck out 362 and walked 153 batters this season while opposing teams hit .249 against them. Minnesota has a team average of 9.41 hits allowed per game and are averaging 6.45 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.11, they are 20th in the league.
Minnesota is batting .249 as a team, which is good for 24th in the league and hitting .231 away from home. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .306, which puts them at 27th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .403. With 148 hits, Joe Mauer leads the team while his team ranks 23rd in hits per game with 8.41.
With a 37-41 home record, Detroit will hope to improve on their 71-81 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.21, Alfredo Simon will come into this game holding a 13-10 record and a 1.49 WHIP. In his starts, the Tigers are 16-13 and he has allowed 188 hits over 171 innings pitched this season. The Tigers are also 16-11 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.7 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 502 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 4.52. The Tigers bullpen has struck out 375 batters and walked 189 this season while opposing teams have hit .271 against them. Detroit has a team average of 9.37 hits per game and are averaging 6.89 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.70, they are 28th in the league.
They are batting .270 as a team, which is good for 2nd in the league and hitting .272 at home. The Tigers on-base percentage sits at .327, which puts them at 3rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .420. With 180 hits, Ian Kinsler leads the team while his team ranks 1st in hits per game with 9.41.
In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .986 with 78 total errors, 1,537 assists and 4,065 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Tigers have accumulated 73 errors while having 1,531 assists and 4,108 put outs leading to a .987 fielding percentage.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 69-71 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 89-63 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 82-63 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 71-81 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/25/15 P Tommy Milone Shoulder out indefinitely
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
09/24/15 P Bruce Rondon Disciplinary out for season
09/23/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Back probable Friday vs Minnesota Twins
09/04/15 SS Jose Iglesias Finger out indefinitely
08/20/15 P Anibal Sanchez Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/20)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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