Thursday, October 15, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom (15-8) vs. Zack Greinke (20-3)
The Los Angeles Dodgers welcome the New York Mets to Dodger Stadium on Thursday in the deciding 5th game of the NLCS. The Mets send Jacob deGrom to the mound to face Zack Greinke of the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +150 and Los Angeles at -160. The over/under was set at 6. The Mets, with a 85-80 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 86-74 over/under record. The Dodgers are 75-91 against the run line and have a 80-81 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 92-74 record, including 42-41 on the road. Jacob deGrom has an earned run average of 2.45 and is 15-8 so far on the season while having a 0.97 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 21-10 over his 198 innings pitched this season while giving up 154 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 16-14. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.48 and they've given up 398 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 170 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.46.
New York is batting .244 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .253 away from home. Ranked at 21st in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .311 and they hold a .400 team slugging percentage. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.3 hits per game and Curtis Granderson leads the team with 156.
With a 56-27 home record, Los Angeles will hope to improve on their 94-72 overall mark. Zack Greinke is starting this game 20-3 for the season with an earned run average of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.84. In his starts, the Dodgers are 24-9 and he has allowed 153 hits over 229.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 14-19. The team is averaging 3.9 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.91 and they have given up 446 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .246 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 517 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94.
They are batting .246 as a team, which is good for 27th in the league and hitting .250 at home. Ranked at 26th in the league in on-base percentage, the Dodgers sit at .307 and they hold a .396 team slugging percentage. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.22 hits per game and Adrian Gonzalez leads the team with 162.
The Mets have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,599 assists and 4,388 put outs leading to a .986 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .988 team fielding percentage while committing 75 errors, accumulating 1,727 assists and compiling 4,337 put outs.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 86-74 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 85-80 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 80-81 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 75-91 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
10/11/15 3B Ruben Tejada Knee out for season
10/02/15 P Steven Matz Back out indefinitely
09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
Los Angeles Dodgers
09/15/15 2B Jose Peraza Hamstring out indefinitely
04/28/15 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26), out for season
04/06/15 P Bronson Arroyo Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6), out for season
04/06/15 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
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